"Ron Lee" wrote in message
...
"C J Campbell" wrote:

It would be more accurate to say that there is one fatal accident (as
opposed to fatality) every 76,000 hours of flying. That would be one
fatal
accident every 760 years for people flying 100 hours per year. However,
most
people fly much less than 100 hours per year. They also do not have long
flying careers. Most people fly for less than 20 years of their adult
life.

And if you eliminate the obvious Darwinism fatalities it is even
safer. Just like automobile accidents. Don't do the things that kill
most people and it is safer than raw stats would suggest.

Not necessarily. You're right that the statistics reflect an unknown number
of dumb decisions that you and I might never make. But they also reflect an
unknown number of instances where a pilot escaped harm by exercising better
skill or judgment than you or I possess. We don't know which factor
predominates, so we don't know if our personal risk is greater or less than
what the raw stats show.

--Gary


Ron Lee