It seems to me that there must be a lot of risk in the small piston plane
market.
This means that a company without a high degree of ability to accept risk
will eventually fail a critical gut check. The question is - Can a public
company stand the risks it takes to be number one?
I believe Cessna simply will not do what it takes to win in this business
because it has become too risk averse. It may survive, but I don't see it
thriving. Strangely, its the same attitudes that kept them in business all
this time, that may now be their downfall. Until the recent entries of new
players, Cessna was king.
Cirrus has done well, and much of it is due to the passion of the founders.
I may be mistaken, but I believe that the investors are likewise passionate.
They are not presently trading the stock on an exchange, are they? If not,
then the company is still reasonably closely held.
What about the rest?
Also, someone mentioned American companies. I understand that the Canadians
are all about tax incentives to attract manufacturing companies, and they
have grabbed a few that way.
"C J Campbell" wrote in message
...
"Dan Luke" wrote in message
...
| C J Campbell wrote:
| In every sector of aviation there appears to be bunch
| of losers that are barely able to tie their own shoes, and a
| couple of performers that seem to make money despite
| all the excuses the losers have.
|
| And why is this so? Because aviation businesses are almost all terribly
| difficult to be successful in:
Every field of business is terribly difficult. No excuse. If you can't
stand
the heat, get out of the kitchen. What I said about aviation can be
applied
to almost every other field of business. There may be exceptions, but I
can't think of any right now.
I have had just about enough of the idea that aviation is somehow
different
than other businesses, that ordinary business principles don't apply to
aviation, that the only reason to get into aviation is that you love it,
etc. Well, here's a news flash: people succeed because they work hard, use
their imaginations, keep costs to a minimum, and charge enough for their
labor and capital to get a reasonable return. They try to sell a product
that people actually want. Loving your work makes all that a lot easier,
but
it is not totally necessary. Nevertheless, I'll bet that Bill Gates loves
his job.
Now, there is no question that people want to fly. Look at what they put
up
with in order to do it. The customer in this industry is generally treated
like crap. The whole message from the time he walks in the door is, "We
don't value our jobs very highly, and we think even less of you. At best,
you are an inconvenience. At worst, a dangerous criminal."
|