"Cockpit Colin" wrote in message
...
If the chances of being involved in a fire was 1 in a million and the
passengers only ever flew one flight then their chance would be one in a
million. If I flew 1 million flights then, statistically speaking, my
worst
fears would come true eventually.


Wrong. If the chance is 1 in a million each time you fly the chance is
1:1,000,000 on the first flight and 1:1,000,000 on the millionith flight.

The dice don't have a memory. You are simply taking the 1:1,000,000 chance
more often than your passengers.