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  #19  
Old September 15th 04, 10:51 PM
Cockpit Colin
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Wrong. If the chance is 1 in a million each time you fly the chance is
1:1,000,000 on the first flight and 1:1,000,000 on the millionith flight.

The dice don't have a memory. You are simply taking the 1:1,000,000 chance
more often than your passengers.


I agree with what you're saying - but if I take that risk 'n' times more
than you then I'm 'n' times more likely to have my number come up.

If I had a gun with a million hole chamber and only 1 round I wouldn't be
too nervous about spinning the chamber once - I'd be real nervous about
doing it a million times. The chances of blowing my brains out on any one
occasion is always 1 in a million as you say - but do it enough times and
the chance of that one chance coming up is increased proportionately - which
proportionately affects my chances of continuing on in this life in good
health!