Kyle Boatright wrote:
Soooo... Do I bank on the 10 day forcast being way off base, or do I bet on
the forecast, make a drastic change in plans and head to Osh at the
beginning of the week, which looks more favorable from a weather standpoint?

Decisions, decisions...


Back in the days when I was making regular diving trips in the Bahamas I used to
start to sweat the weather days ahead of time, following every day's forecast
and constantly replanning my trip. Eventually I came to the conclusion that the
actual go-no go decision was the one taken right before the trip. All those
others were wasted effort and unnecessary stress.

At some point I'm going to drive down to the airport to fly. Immediately before
that is the only weather forecast that matters. If it sucks, I change my plans
and don't go. If it only sucks a little, I look at my options: maybe there's an
alternative route that avoids heavy weather. Then I go.

You haven't made it clear what your abilities are but if I were flying further
than 200 miles and didn't have an instrument rating, I'd find somebody with one
and who is current to come along. Otherwise your attempt to fly cross country
VFR on a time schedule is really just a crap shoot.



--
Mortimer Schnerd, RN

VE