Not as Arrogant as Mxsmanic writes:

I don't know if I'll ever walk on the moon barefoot. I suspect the odds are the
same for both events.

Your scenario is far more improbable.

I tried flying to KASE tonight, VFR. It was quite a harrowing experience. I
got lost for a time and came very uncomfortably close to a variety of
unfriendly mountains. But I did eventually make it, with only a dozen gallons
or so of fuel left in the tanks.

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