Forecast is the word they use to sound more authoritative than "guess."



wrote in message
...
| On Dec 23, 10:57 pm, "Jim Macklin"
| wrote:
|
| We declared an emergency and advise the tower of what was happening.
They
| said the wind was calm, but we could land on any runway of our choice.
We
| landed on 17 L and taxied into Catlin and had it in the hanger in just a
few
| minutes. The down burst drifted north over the parallel runways for
10-15
| minutes. You could see the winds was blowing directly away from the
center
| of the down draft. The tower reported a gust of over 45 knots.
|
| | If you don't fly anytime there's an AIRMET, I feel sorry for you if
| | you're a pilot n the Northeast..
|
| Interesting stories! The difference in wind speed at even 200' AGL can
| be amazing.
|
| Weather forecasts are not weather -- what you encounter in the air is
| weather.
|
| This is something learned with certainty only though experience. The
| hard part is predicting what's next based on what's observed.
|
| Dan
|
|