Yes, but I don't think it has been any MORE optimistic than last
year. *It's just that when it predicts lift to 20k, and the lift only
goes to 18k, we don't get too worked up. *When the forecast is for
lift to 14k, and we only get to 12k, it will make a significant
difference in your flight.

I tend to agree. Actually, for the El Mirage area, the RUC forecast
seems to be right on, the NAM, as usual, is a little optomistic as
regards cu's.
Sometimes we get really good days in early Sept, so don't write off
the season yet...

aerodyne