At 07:47 06 July 2012, WaltWX wrote:
Tom,
Friday 07/06 looks like trigger should occur early like you
estimated...aro=
und 10am on ridges (BUFR sounding for China Lake shows 7500agl by 10am).
Dr=
y airmass promoting Few to isolated cu cloud bases 16,500 back in Sierras
a=
nd 18-19K msl N and E Owens Valley. There may be some shallow high based
CB=
in the usual "hot spots" and high terrain north of Bishop, but no
thunders=
torm convection of significance.
Pretty good day Friday, but the trend is a little better each day
Saturday
=
through Monday as surface max temps rise 1-2deg per day... and warm core
hi=
gh slides westward. Thursday it was over Mo/Iowa but by Sun/Mon will be
cen=
tered on UT/NV. The light easterly mid level flow around bottom of high
tha=
t usually bring monsoon moisture... will continue to remain quite dry.
So.. yes. 1000km + triangles and zig-zags looks good for this period
contin=
uing into mid next week.
Walt Rogers, WX
On 7/5/2012 6:14 PM, Tom Serkowski wrote: Walt,
Does today fit your pattern?
=20
Good cu on the Sierras before 1100, so likely a 1000 start was
possible.
=
Satellite images still look good and there's still strong looking cu on
th=
e sierras and E, NE from here.
=20
-Tom
=20
--
=20
Tom Serkowski
http://serkowski.com/
Guess it's all Ying & Yang, you get the boomers and we get the rain, flown
my ship 6 times since March. Got 6" of water on the lawn and I'm using the
mop at the door and thinking I maybe ought to buy a boat!........But hey
Ying & Yang 2013 it gonna be stonking here