"Wolfie" wrote in message . com...
"ArtKramr" wrote

The announcement was a tactical mistake. The Israelis are kings of the
pre-emptive strike.

Israel has the "you can't get there from here" problem with
that scenario in Iran. They'd have to overfly either Saudi
Arabia or US-controlled Iraq. The US certainly won't
let a strike mission be flown under it's CAP while trying
to get Iraq under control.

Has any of you ever studied what exactly was there at Tuweitha in 1980
- and what can be found there in Bushehr, now?

Obviously not.

The Iraqis concentrated all their nuclear research facilities - a
Soviet-delivered RTM, the French Osirak 1 and Osirak 2, the
Italian-supplied gas-centrifuge, and all the training and research
facilities - at one place. Their reactors were of the type used
specially for the development of nuclear weapons - no "light-water"
types there.

In the case of Iran, all such facilities are doubled and trippled -
and strewn all over the country: over 150 different facilities are
involved in their projects, of which the most important ones are
burried deep under the ground. The reactors being built at Bushehr are
not burried underground, but of commercial, light-water, type and
therefore not really instrumental - nor needed - for the development
of any nuclear weapons.

So, what can one conclude from this?

Hit Tuweitha, and you destroyed everything (although, the Israelis
actually only destroyed the Osirak 1, the rest was done by the
Iranians in their "failed" attack).

Hit Bushehr, and you haven't done anything - except caused an all-out
war against Iran, which would foremost be fought by "non-conventional"
means and that nobody can win.


Tom Cooper
Co-Author:
Iran-Iraq War in the Air, 1980-1988
http://www.schifferbooks.com/militar...764316699.html

Iranian F-4 Phantom II Units in Combat
http://www.osprey-publishing.co.uk/t...hp/title=S6585