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Old November 16th 06, 04:59 PM posted to rec.aviation.piloting
Jose[_1_]
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Posts: 1,632
Default PHIL Thrown out of an FBO...

You are welcome to whatever dogma you would like. But even scientists believe
certain circumstances happen outside the realm of probability:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Synchronicity


That "some scientists" believe something doesn't make it true.
Scientists have been wrong. Sometimes ridiculously wrong. However, an
error in science can be discovered (because by definition, a scientific
theory is "falisifiable"). And that one cannot explain something does
not mean that it is beyond explanation.

Things that seem improbable occur
quite often, merely by chance. (this can be shown to
be true with pure numbers - no actual events are necessary)


What is key here is that the class of "remarkable things" is bigger than
the single remakable thing that occurs. For example, it could be
remarkable that my brother and I show up at my cousin's wedding with
exactly the same pattern tie. The chances of that are 1 out of 50
(assuming we each have 50 ties, choose randomly, and always wear a tie)
If it happens, it will surely be noted.

However, it would be equally remarkable if we showed up with the same
pattern shirt, or the same pattern pants, or the same pattern of socks.
It would also be equally remarkable if it happened at my other
cousin's funeral, or the opening night of my sister's play. Using the
same numbers (yes, I know that 50 pairs of patterned pants =is=
remarkable), the chance of A REMARKABLE EVENT occuring is now much
higher, even though the chance of THIS PARTICULAR remarkable event
remains the same.

That's what people fail to fully percieve.

Jose
--
"Never trust anything that can think for itself, if you can't see where
it keeps its brain." (chapter 10 of book 3 - Harry Potter).
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