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Old September 6th 18, 12:54 AM posted to rec.aviation.soaring
Andy Blackburn[_3_]
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Default Too many accidents

On Wednesday, September 5, 2018 at 5:30:06 PM UTC-5, Ramy wrote:

This is not just an anomaly. This is double the average.
Also the seemingly trend of decline in fatality rate over the years is an illusion. The number of participants declining in even faster rate.

Ramy

Ramy


Not to over-engage in statistical analysis, but I think the number of fatal incidents is the relevant metric, not the average number of people on board - unless you are asserting that two-seaters is a relevant factor. In this case that would be a Blanik, a 2-32 and a Duo. Hard to see a trend or pattern in that.

The numbers are too high, but they are not statistically out of the historical range.

Andy