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#1
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An interesting article from space.com :
http://www.space.com/businesstechnol...ed_040818.html I can't imagine myself ever using such a vehicle, even if one could be made for the masses. Why risk your life when you could be safer on the ground? ![]() |
#2
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"sanman" wrote in message
m... An interesting article from space.com : http://www.space.com/businesstechnol...ed_040818.html I can't imagine myself ever using such a vehicle, even if one could be made for the masses. Why risk your life when you could be safer on the ground? ![]() I'm not sure about safer on the ground, But the whole concept gives me the willies. I don't trust a robot to fly, and most drivers can't handle a car properly, let alone an aircraft. |
#3
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"Dave" wrote in message ...
"sanman" wrote in message m... An interesting article from space.com : http://www.space.com/businesstechnol...ed_040818.html I can't imagine myself ever using such a vehicle, even if one could be made for the masses. Why risk your life when you could be safer on the ground? ![]() I'm not sure about safer on the ground, But the whole concept gives me the willies. I don't trust a robot to fly, and most drivers can't handle a car properly, let alone an aircraft. The credibility of the whole thing went into the can when I got to the last few paragraphs of the article. They mention and quote Moller, as if he was developing a workable flying machine. More suckers lining up... Dan |
#5
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Even assuming that a personal craft could be built economically, how
would it improve anything? Just picture the normal traffic on a freeway translated into the air. Hurts to even think about it. Hand in hand with the developments in smaller "personal" air vehicles is the development of computer controlled (and extremely automated) flight control systems that won't just control the individual aircraft, but act as a management system for ALL of these aircraft in a given area. People won't fly these things (unless they head out into the boonies); they'll simply be passengers. You may have seen examples on TV of the automation systems being developed to control vehicles on the highway. These systems use a bunch of different technologies (radar, magnetic sensors, "signposts" embedded in the roadway, etc.) to take over the driving responsibility and allow the computer to guide the vehicle at high speed within inches of the other vehicles on the roadway. As I understand it, NASA's plan is to extend this type of thing by a couple of orders of magnitude - into three dimensions (up & down in addition to left & right and front & back) and with some sort of artificial intelligence system to guide all the individual planes. The plane would probably be responsible for keeping itself airborn and moving at the right speed and in the right direction, but the AI management system would be telling all the planes where and when to go. After getting in and telling the computer the destination, the craft's occupants would simply be along for the ride. Part of me thinks this is a developing technology looking for a problem to solve, and part of me thinks it could be a wonderful cure for traffic congestion in the urban sprawls. Either way, it is so far away from what this newsgroup is about we might as well be discussing submarines. If it they actually make it work and the whole thing takes off, a lot of people will get a good idea of what the early astronauts meant by "spam in the can." IMHO, anyway. Rob |
#6
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On 20 Aug 2004 07:37:33 -0700, (Rob
Schneider) wrote: Even assuming that a personal craft could be built economically, how would it improve anything? Just picture the normal traffic on a freeway translated into the air. Hurts to even think about it. Hand in hand with the developments in smaller "personal" air vehicles is the development of computer controlled (and extremely automated) flight control systems that won't just control the individual aircraft, but act as a management system for ALL of these aircraft in a given area. People won't fly these things (unless they head out into the boonies); they'll simply be passengers. That goes entirely against the grain for almost any driver you can find. One of the reasons we have so much traffic is the individualism and feeling of freedom many drivers get from driving their own car and going where they want when they want. You may have seen examples on TV of the automation systems being developed to control vehicles on the highway. These systems use a bunch of different technologies (radar, magnetic sensors, "signposts" embedded in the roadway, etc.) to take over the driving responsibility and allow the computer to guide the vehicle at high speed within inches of the other vehicles on the roadway. You do realize that at the Chicago World's Fair back in the 30s they were predicting those things to be common place within the next two decades. They even had models of traffic systems. Seven decades later it's still a dream. As I understand it, NASA's plan is to extend this type of thing by a couple of orders of magnitude - into three dimensions (up & down in addition to left & right and front & back) and with some sort of artificial intelligence system to guide all the individual planes. The plane would probably be responsible for keeping itself airborn and moving at the right speed and in the right direction, but the AI management system would be telling all the planes where and when to go. After getting in and telling the computer the destination, the craft's occupants would simply be along for the ride. I think this has about as much practicality as the optimism at the World's Fair. Part of me thinks this is a developing technology looking for a problem to solve, and part of me thinks it could be a wonderful cure for traffic congestion in the urban sprawls. Either way, it is so far away from what this newsgroup is about we might as well be discussing submarines. I'd disagree there. I think that homebuilding and experimentation will play a big part in any kind of evolution when it comes to navigation. OTOH to see the personal flight expanded much beyond today's type is going to take a very large change in our society, not just aviation. We have the capability to do these things now. The computer programming would have to be done, but the automation capability is there. Of course individual flying is far less efficient with fuel than the automobile, and can you imagine the effects of a terrorist interfering with the navigation system. These craft would have to have the capability of using autonomous AIs on them that could communicate as a group and to take orders from an outside source. There are actually such programs underway for deep sea exploration. I've forgotten the actual name which is one of those yard and a half long monikers but I did some writing for my cousin for a grant proposal. Technologically we'd need a complete new revolution in electronics and computing for this to become financially feasible on a large scale. No mater how I look at it, to be widely implemented I think it's as far off as that traffic system from the World's Fair in Chicago. If it they actually make it work and the whole thing takes off, a lot of people will get a good idea of what the early astronauts meant by "spam in the can." I don't think the claustrophobic are going to have to worry any time soon, if ever. Roger Halstead (K8RI & ARRL life member) (N833R, S# CD-2 Worlds oldest Debonair) www.rogerhalstead.com IMHO, anyway. Rob |
#7
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Also Mollers turn gas into noise !!
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#8
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#9
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Roger Halstead wrote in message . ..
Actually, Roger, you and I aren't too far apart in our opinions of this, with perhaps one exception: That goes entirely against the grain for almost any driver you can find. I agree completely. You do realize that at the Chicago World's Fair back in the 30s they were predicting those things to be common place within the next two decades. They even had models of traffic systems. Seven decades later it's still a dream. Yes, and they will continue to be a dream for quite a while longer. I think the cars are closer to being a reality than the aircraft, but realistically neither is going to become a reality any time soon. Part of me thinks this is a developing technology looking for a problem to solve, and part of me thinks it could be a wonderful cure for traffic congestion in the urban sprawls. Either way, it is so far away from what this newsgroup is about we might as well be discussing submarines. I'd disagree there. I think that homebuilding and experimentation will play a big part in any kind of evolution when it comes to navigation. I would love to see that happen, but my guess is the model airplane folks will have more to do with the development of this system than the homebuilders will. As I see it, these new planes will be all fly-by-wire and very CPU- and communications-intensive. That's a big leap from where most of GA is these days, but not so far way from where the RC folks are. They've already got fly-by-wire (or perhaps fly-by-wireless, with a human brain for the CPU), on-board flight data recorders, and active stabalization systems that will return the plane to straight and level from any attitude. You could throw a lot of these things into the air relatively inexpensively, and best of all nobody would die while working the kinks out of the system. Also, I think the airlines might help push this along. People cost money, and the more they can eliminate from the equation, the more profitable their business. (Computers don't call in sick, either.* Well, then again there are viruses and faulty code...) My guess is GA (and homebuilding in particular) will be squeezed out of the process from both ends, but like I said I'd love it if I were wrong about that. *(I was going to say "Computers don't show up for work intoxicated, either" but I think that's a bit unfair to the thousands of commercial airline pilots who do it right every day.) OTOH to see the personal flight expanded much beyond today's type is going to take a very large change in our society, not just aviation. Very true. Kind of like the Segway - a good idea but it doesn't fit well into our current definition of society. Although I think that was once said about the automobile, too, and probably the horse sometime long before that. We have the capability to do these things now. The computer programming would have to be done, but the automation capability is there. Of course individual flying is far less efficient with fuel than the automobile, and can you imagine the effects of a terrorist interfering with the navigation system. These craft would have to have the capability of using autonomous AIs on them that could communicate as a group and to take orders from an outside source. There are actually such programs underway for deep sea exploration. I've forgotten the actual name which is one of those yard and a half long monikers but I did some writing for my cousin for a grant proposal. Technologically we'd need a complete new revolution in electronics and computing for this to become financially feasible on a large scale. My guess is the expensive part (at least initially) is going to be airframes and specifically the mechanical aspects of the fly-by-wire control systems. Like you said, the rest of it is pretty much here. No mater how I look at it, to be widely implemented I think it's as far off as that traffic system from the World's Fair in Chicago. I agree completely, though in this case I think the capabiltiy will be there long before society is willing to accept it. If it they actually make it work and the whole thing takes off, a lot of people will get a good idea of what the early astronauts meant by "spam in the can." I don't think the claustrophobic are going to have to worry any time soon, if ever. I don't think they were refering to claustrophobia. Those early astronauts were the cream of the crop from the military aviation programs, and as I understand it they weren't all that happy about blasting straight up and then falling back to earth like a stone. They wanted something they could fly, not just sit in and press buttons. Don't get me wrong - those early spacecraft were complex vehicles to pilot, but there really wasn't much "flying" to them at all. Again, IMHO... Rob |
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