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Tankers - 767 or 7E7?



 
 
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  #1  
Old January 2nd 04, 03:27 AM
Tony
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Posts: n/a
Default Tankers - 767 or 7E7?

I have been wondering why the Air Force doesn't look to buy tanker versions
of the 7E7, rather than 767s? From what I've read, the discounted price of
a 7E7 to the airlines will be under $100 million, possibly well under. So a
100 of them would cost less than the $10 billion being cited as the price
for 100 767s. As a launch, and substantial, customer - the Air Force might
be able to get a goodly discount, as well as some say in design (like maybe
alternate rack designs to hold Mil Std avionics). And the tanker versions
should be even cheaper because they wouldn't need airline features like a
complex galley, multiple lavatories, and entertainment piped to 250 seats.

Better yet - why not procure some of each? There have been statements that
there is a risk in having all the tankers be of one design in case that
design is grounded for some reason.

You know that whatever the Air Force buys will be flying for 40+ years - why
not get the latest, most efficient, and lowest maintenance aircraft?

Tony (first time poster)


  #2  
Old January 2nd 04, 03:34 AM
Kevin Brooks
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default


"Tony" wrote in message
news:Ps5Jb.48076$PK3.9517@okepread01...
I have been wondering why the Air Force doesn't look to buy tanker

versions
of the 7E7, rather than 767s? From what I've read, the discounted price

of
a 7E7 to the airlines will be under $100 million, possibly well under. So

a
100 of them would cost less than the $10 billion being cited as the price
for 100 767s. As a launch, and substantial, customer - the Air Force

might
be able to get a goodly discount, as well as some say in design (like

maybe
alternate rack designs to hold Mil Std avionics). And the tanker versions
should be even cheaper because they wouldn't need airline features like a
complex galley, multiple lavatories, and entertainment piped to 250 seats.

Better yet - why not procure some of each? There have been statements

that
there is a risk in having all the tankers be of one design in case that
design is grounded for some reason.

You know that whatever the Air Force buys will be flying for 40+ years -

why
not get the latest, most efficient, and lowest maintenance aircraft?


Time. The USAF needs new tankers ASAP, which is why the plan to pursue the
combined lease/buy option is underway. The 767 already flies, and the first
tanker mods with flying booms are already under construction (for the
Italian and Japanese, IIRC). It will be available long before any tanker
version of the 7E7 will be--the 7E7 has yet to even begin entering the metal
cutting stage (heck, design is only now firming up), much less undergone its
flight test.

Brooks


Tony (first time poster)




  #3  
Old January 2nd 04, 03:41 AM
Larry
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default

"Tony blurted out; "Better yet - why not procure some of each?"

It's MUCH cheaper to have ONE common set of spares, overhaul, and
intermediate repairs for a SINGLE platform. Not to mention the complete pain
in the ass to run DUAL training tracks to fill the aircrew seats for two
platforms. It goes on and on.

Not a good idea.

My two cents.


Larry
AECS (AW/SW/MTS)
USN Retired
"Certified Web Designer"
www.SkagitMedia.com






"Tony" wrote in message
news:Ps5Jb.48076$PK3.9517@okepread01...
I have been wondering why the Air Force doesn't look to buy tanker

versions
of the 7E7, rather than 767s? From what I've read, the discounted price

of
a 7E7 to the airlines will be under $100 million, possibly well under. So

a
100 of them would cost less than the $10 billion being cited as the price
for 100 767s. As a launch, and substantial, customer - the Air Force

might
be able to get a goodly discount, as well as some say in design (like

maybe
alternate rack designs to hold Mil Std avionics). And the tanker versions
should be even cheaper because they wouldn't need airline features like a
complex galley, multiple lavatories, and entertainment piped to 250 seats.

Better yet - why not procure some of each? There have been statements

that
there is a risk in having all the tankers be of one design in case that
design is grounded for some reason.

You know that whatever the Air Force buys will be flying for 40+ years -

why
not get the latest, most efficient, and lowest maintenance aircraft?

Tony (first time poster)




  #4  
Old January 2nd 04, 05:51 AM
Gene Storey
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Actually, since the fall of Iraq, the number of tankers needed has dropped
significantly. With the end of operation northern and southern watch, this
has freed-up essentially a squadron of aircraft.

Tanker pilots can fly anything heavy, with minimal training. Training costs
are insignificant.

The USAF leasing planes means the lessor has to maintain a bench stock.
In any scenario described, the lessor will also contract the maintenance
CONUS and Overseas.

Personally, I would go for the 767, as this is a very large aircraft that can
carry pallet cargo, and has the fuel tanks for a significant offload. The 767
is all the USAF needs for both an AWACS and Tanker replacement. I also
think it could replace the B-52 in cruise missile launch capability. With an
internal load of hundreds of cruise missiles, it can eject them from a
rotary launcher and track system. Most B-52's that launched cruise missiles
never crossed the FEBA (Gulf, and Med).


  #5  
Old January 2nd 04, 02:04 PM
C Knowles
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default


"Gene Storey" wrote in message
newsF7Jb.6477$6l1.101@okepread03...
Actually, since the fall of Iraq, the number of tankers needed has dropped
significantly. With the end of operation northern and southern watch,

this
has freed-up essentially a squadron of aircraft.


Funny, the crews don't seem to see that: another "Deny Christmas" just
passed with folks very busy. Just because we don't have a "big" war going
doesn't mean there are not tankers deployed all over the world flying their
butts off. And when the next big one comes along we will need all those
tankers. Every time a crisis hits requiring either fighters, bombers or
'lifters, the theater commander wants every tanker he can squeeze into the
available airfields.

Tanker pilots can fly anything heavy, with minimal training. Training

costs
are insignificant.


WHAT? Training costs are huge. Line pilots, by reg, are not dual qualified.

Personally, I would go for the 767, as this is a very large aircraft that

can
carry pallet cargo, and has the fuel tanks for a significant offload. The

767
is all the USAF needs for both an AWACS and Tanker replacement.


All true, but I am assume that the 7E7 will have the same capability, in
time. But it will be all new. The 767 is still a what, 30 year old design?
Even with modern upgrades the 7E7 should do the job better.

Curt


  #6  
Old January 2nd 04, 03:13 PM
Kevin Brooks
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default


"C Knowles" wrote in message
om...

"Gene Storey" wrote in message
newsF7Jb.6477$6l1.101@okepread03...
Actually, since the fall of Iraq, the number of tankers needed has

dropped
significantly. With the end of operation northern and southern watch,

this
has freed-up essentially a squadron of aircraft.


Funny, the crews don't seem to see that: another "Deny Christmas" just
passed with folks very busy. Just because we don't have a "big" war going
doesn't mean there are not tankers deployed all over the world flying

their
butts off. And when the next big one comes along we will need all those
tankers. Every time a crisis hits requiring either fighters, bombers or
'lifters, the theater commander wants every tanker he can squeeze into the
available airfields.

Tanker pilots can fly anything heavy, with minimal training. Training

costs
are insignificant.


WHAT? Training costs are huge. Line pilots, by reg, are not dual

qualified.

Personally, I would go for the 767, as this is a very large aircraft

that
can
carry pallet cargo, and has the fuel tanks for a significant offload.

The
767
is all the USAF needs for both an AWACS and Tanker replacement.


All true, but I am assume that the 7E7 will have the same capability, in
time. But it will be all new. The 767 is still a what, 30 year old design?
Even with modern upgrades the 7E7 should do the job better.


Yes, it will have similar capabilities...the operative word being *will*,
with the proviso that the program actually meets fruition. It would not be
available for some years; current first flight plan is 2007, with
certification in 2008. So any tanker mod would not be available until
sometime even later, probably in the 2010 timeframe at the earliest.
Contrast that to the likely delivery of the first 767-based tankers to the
USAF in 2006, a year before the 7E7 even makes its maiden flight.

Brooks


Curt




  #7  
Old January 2nd 04, 03:54 PM
Larry
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Gene offered his thoughts "Training costs are insignificant"
EXCUSE ME?

Since I have written the Navy Training Plan (NTP) for the E-6A Hermes (more
commonly known as the Gecko) I am QUITE familiar with training pipelines and
their associated costs.

Don't tell me you'll just "grab some other pilot" and train him to fly a
tanker! That pilot has to come from "off the street" sooner or later and
will require several years of training to become qualified. These costs are
easily calculated by taking the overhead of the school (trainers, sims,
instructors, equip, aircraft, maintenance, etc) and divide by the throughput
(number of students per year). Then add all the pay/bennys for the students-
This cost (per pilot) is over $200,000 on some platforms on up to well over
a million dollars on others.

More to this discussion is the "dual qual" which in that case would likely
add at least several months to a training pipeline (with all the overhead
associated with trainers, sims, instructors, equip, etc) for what purpose?
Then you'll have two "training squadrons", two "model managers", double the
"pilot instructors", and on and on.

What interval will cross-qual be required to keep current? Many of our
pilots cannot keep "current" now due to budget constraints- let alone
maintain a "dual-seat" qual? Why???

More thought needs to be applied here. You don't just "run out and jump into
an airplane"!




Larry
AECS (AW/SW/MTS)
Disabled Combat Veteran
USN Retired
"MTS = Master Training Specialist and that includes coordinating training
pipelines and curriculum development, not just mass podium time"






"Gene Storey" wrote in message
newsF7Jb.6477$6l1.101@okepread03...
Actually, since the fall of Iraq, the number of tankers needed has dropped
significantly. With the end of operation northern and southern watch,

this
has freed-up essentially a squadron of aircraft.

Tanker pilots can fly anything heavy, with minimal training. Training

costs
are insignificant.

The USAF leasing planes means the lessor has to maintain a bench stock.
In any scenario described, the lessor will also contract the maintenance
CONUS and Overseas.

Personally, I would go for the 767, as this is a very large aircraft that

can
carry pallet cargo, and has the fuel tanks for a significant offload. The

767
is all the USAF needs for both an AWACS and Tanker replacement. I also
think it could replace the B-52 in cruise missile launch capability. With

an
internal load of hundreds of cruise missiles, it can eject them from a
rotary launcher and track system. Most B-52's that launched cruise

missiles
never crossed the FEBA (Gulf, and Med).




  #8  
Old January 2nd 04, 06:58 PM
Tony
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default


"Larry" wrote in message
...
Gene offered his thoughts "Training costs are insignificant"

EXCUSE ME?

Since I have written the Navy Training Plan (NTP) for the E-6A Hermes

(more
commonly known as the Gecko) I am QUITE familiar with training pipelines

and
their associated costs.

Don't tell me you'll just "grab some other pilot" and train him to fly a
tanker! That pilot has to come from "off the street" sooner or later and
will require several years of training to become qualified. These costs

are
easily calculated by taking the overhead of the school (trainers, sims,
instructors, equip, aircraft, maintenance, etc) and divide by the

throughput
(number of students per year). Then add all the pay/bennys for the

students-
This cost (per pilot) is over $200,000 on some platforms on up to well

over
a million dollars on others.

More to this discussion is the "dual qual" which in that case would likely
add at least several months to a training pipeline (with all the overhead
associated with trainers, sims, instructors, equip, etc) for what purpose?
Then you'll have two "training squadrons", two "model managers", double

the
"pilot instructors", and on and on.

What interval will cross-qual be required to keep current? Many of our
pilots cannot keep "current" now due to budget constraints- let alone
maintain a "dual-seat" qual? Why???

Larry
AECS (AW/SW/MTS)
Disabled Combat Veteran
USN Retired
"MTS = Master Training Specialist and that includes coordinating training
pipelines and curriculum development, not just mass podium time"

This is true of military aircraft - but not of commercial aircraft. Both
Boeing and Airbus go to great lengths to make cross and dual
certification between similar types as easy as possible. It is one
of their selling points. Since the 7E7 is intended to be (amoung
other things) a 767 replacement - I'll bet that Boeing will make
recirtification very easy. Airbus advertises that pilots can cross
certify from one of their types to another in two weeks or so.

Tony


  #9  
Old January 2nd 04, 07:23 PM
Gene Storey
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Posts: n/a
Default

"Larry" wrote
Gene offered his thoughts "Training costs are insignificant"


Don't tell me you'll just "grab some other pilot" and train him to fly a
tanker!


I'm talking about post indoctrination (UPT or whatever they call it today).

That pilot has to come from "off the street" sooner or later and
will require several years of training to become qualified.


I'm talking after that training. I'm talking about a gomer that already knows
what makes an airplane work, and is now ready for a management position
in a computer operated vehicle with consumables onboard.

This cost (per pilot) is over $200,000 on some platforms on up to well over
a million dollars on others.


OK, now compare that to the cost of the airframes and maintenance per year.

More thought needs to be applied here. You don't just "run out and jump into
an airplane"!


When I flew, we really didn't have a syllabus. The IP signed you off as a copilot
when he thought you were ready, and it may be anywhere from 5 to 10 flights.
Today, those 6 flights I got would be done in a simulator in three sorties, and I
would have gotten more out of it. Picture an E-6A (ours was a 707) with 5 pilots,
5 navigators, and 5 flight engineers all doing a P-sortie. The in and out of the seats
so the next guy can have an hour, was just a ****-poor way to go. Now you and
the IP go to the sim, and your first live flight is really your first eval. This stuff
while more costly than an SUV, or chocolate cake, is cheap in the big scheme
of heavy aviation.

I'm also aware of "padding the syllabus." This is the technique where you try to
justify sorties and training programs that without them would make the job look
less dramatic and important. I remember we had what seemed like 100 hours
on Boeing flight cable systems, and "stump the dummy" IP's would test your
knowledge with "How many feet of wire connect the left aileron with the left
midsection bellcrank?" "Bzzzt, times up! You need another 8 hour P-sortie..."

If there's not anything you can do about it off the ground, then you have two
options: bail out, and go in with the ship. Leave that crap out of the syllabus.


  #10  
Old January 3rd 04, 04:45 AM
external usenet poster
 
Posts: n/a
Default

"Gene Storey" wrote:

If there's not anything you can do about it off the ground, then you have two
options: bail out, and go in with the ship. Leave that crap out of the syllabus.


Damned right...that stuff's fun to win beers with in the hotel
bar but it's actually counterproductive in flight (fills yer
memory chips up with useless trivia)...although it appears that
the Air Transat guys could have (apparently) used a little more
of those tricks when they just happened to find themselves over
Lajes when they ran outta fuel!...
--

-Gord.
 




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