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There's a very interesting article in the current issue of Combat Aircraft,
Vol 7, No. 6. It's by Tom Cooper and Liam F. Devlin and titled "Iran: A Formidable Opponent?" The article is about Iran's current air force capabilities, specifically focusing on the Tomcats in Iranian service (it is in keeping with the issue's focus on the retirement of the Tomcat from USN service; several other magazines are doing similar Tomcat farewell issues). According to the authors, the Tomcat remains in frontline Iranian service and in sizeable numbers. The authors claim that in late 2003 a USAF E-3 Sentry tracked 16--yes, SIXTEEN--Iranian Tomcats flying in formation. This was the largest number spotted at one time since 1997, when nine were tracked over the southern Persian Gulf by the US Navy. The article is somewhat defensive in tone. The authors claim that although Western sources report that the Tomcat is barely operable, this is untrue. The Iranians have put a lot of effort into maintaining and even rebuilding their Tomcats and Phantoms, and they may have as many as 65 Phantoms in service. It said that the US has decided that the Tomcat is barely operable because it no longer operates on the borders, but only deep inside Iran. But they claim that this is actually because the Iranians are trying to preserve their assets and keep their most powerful fighter farther from potential harm. They also make a number of other claims, including that the CIA may have acquired or inspected a Russian MiG-31 in 1997, and that the Russians offered 22 secondhand MiG-31 aircraft to the Iranians, who turned them down. (The CIA reportedly sought to buy these aircraft rather than let the Iranians get them.) The article also claims that the Russians offered Su-27s, Su-30s, and MiG-29s to the Iranians, but the Iranians are wary of buying Russian aircraft because the terms are bad. For instance, the Russians do not allow license building of their jet engines. Simply put, the Russians won't give the Iranians enough independence and the Iranians don't want to get stuck in a position of weakness when it comes to acquiring spare parts for their aircraft. There's a lot of amazing stuff in the article and it would be fascinating if true. But one objection that I've heard others make about Cooper and his other co-writer Farzad Bishop is that it is impossible to independently confirm their information. They might conduct a lot of interviews with Iranian pilots and ex-pat Iranians, but we don't know how carefully they check their information. (This article by Cooper and Devlin concedes that fewer Iranians have left the country since the mid-1990s, so it is harder to speak to Iranians outside the country.) Personally, the one thing I'm dubious about is the claim that Western intelligence agencies do not have a good understanding of just how active the Iranian F-14s are. If they turn on their radars, then the US intel assets in the Persian Gulf will detect them. In addition, satellite photos should also indicate how many F-14s are operable. Sure, the Iranians must keep a lot of them in hangars, but occasionally they will move them around airfields and they can be counted. In fact, somebody with a credit card could order up commercial images of Iranian airfields and check for themselves. So I don't buy the claim that US intel officials think that _virtually no_ F-14s or their AWG-9 radars are still operating. My suspicion is that the authors are responding to misinformed trash talking in the aviation press, not to what US intel actually believes about Iranian capabilities. All that said, the one thing that establishes credibility for Cooper and Devlin (as well as Cooper and Bishop in their books on the Iranian F-4s and F-14s) is the impressive array of photos that they have collected. These include aerial refueling shots of F-4s and Su-24s, as well as formation shots of F-5s and other aircraft, and a very cool grainy image of an F-14 at extremely low altitude over the Gulf. That aircraft is in the current blue/gray paint scheme. They also have a photo of an F-14 with an ATM-54A training round alongside, photographed in April 2004. That raises an interesting point--if the Iranians no longer can operate the AIM-54 Phoenix, then why would they be carrying around training rounds? Clearly they retain some kind of AIM-54 Phoenix capability. D |
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Follow the money!
To begin with, the Shah bought plenty of spare parts. Two AVCAL's (each consisting of one year's estimated usage of spare parts based on flight hours) were required to be delivered concurrent with the first IIAF F-14. That allowed plenty of time for copying and improvement. Second, the USN lied to Congress that 70% of inflight malfunctions would be repairable at the Organizational or Intermediate Maintenance levels, without resort to the slow, highly expensive Depot or Contractor levels. Third, Congress dictated the use of a myriad of small-business minority-setaside contractors to provide bit-and-piece components for production and spare parts. Many were totally inept, dishonest, or both. For instance: A red or green lens for the nav lights cost $18,000; Hughes used a special transistor in the AWG-9 Radar that was not manufactured, but selected for its special characteristics from bulk quantities of a common type of transistor used in GM auto seat belt controllers. The yield rate for usable transistors was about 1 in 2,700 tested. Guess what happened when GM dropped that seat-belt design. Fleet introduction was a real zoo, with the production line, the IIAF and current fleet usage all in competition for the same non-existent parts. The IIAF logistics and maintenance guys, all graduates of the USAF Palace Log training track, got a real snicker out of that one, and contracted with French companies to provide outyear support. To make a long story short, the guts of any nearly system-ready F-14 in Iran's current inventory bear no resemblance to what was in them in 1975. The sons of the Frenchmen who provided logistics and engineering to the Shah in the 1970's are providing them to Iran today, along with the Russians. The flying pack of internal rat**** that USN maintainers put up with for years long since went the way of the Wing Flap Glove Vane Controller System. By the way, another old giggle: When the first F-14 landed at Point Mugu, the canopy warped so badly in the sunshine that it couldn't be closed until it was taken into the hangar and cooled down. Everyone was going nuts about what the Iranians would say when they found out (lots of our oil dollars riding on this deal, guys). The Iranians were totally unconcerned; their hangers were underground and a canopy would never be opened in the sun. Point is, these airframes have been stored and maintained in conditions superior to most museums. The original hangar and support facilities were designed by the French, also. OK, it's time for one of you aero types to explain the history of the Wing Flap Glove Vanes, and where they went. Rick DDAY wrote: There's a very interesting article in the current issue of Combat Aircraft, Vol 7, No. 6. It's by Tom Cooper and Liam F. Devlin and titled "Iran: A Formidable Opponent?" The article is about Iran's current air force capabilities, specifically focusing on the Tomcats in Iranian service (it is in keeping with the issue's focus on the retirement of the Tomcat from USN service; several other magazines are doing similar Tomcat farewell issues). According to the authors, the Tomcat remains in frontline Iranian service and in sizeable numbers. The authors claim that in late 2003 a USAF E-3 Sentry tracked 16--yes, SIXTEEN--Iranian Tomcats flying in formation. This was the largest number spotted at one time since 1997, when nine were tracked over the southern Persian Gulf by the US Navy. The article is somewhat defensive in tone. The authors claim that although Western sources report that the Tomcat is barely operable, this is untrue. The Iranians have put a lot of effort into maintaining and even rebuilding their Tomcats and Phantoms, and they may have as many as 65 Phantoms in service. It said that the US has decided that the Tomcat is barely operable because it no longer operates on the borders, but only deep inside Iran. But they claim that this is actually because the Iranians are trying to preserve their assets and keep their most powerful fighter farther from potential harm. snip *** Posted via a free Usenet account from http://www.teranews.com *** |
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Don't know the current status of Iranian F-14 readiness but can vouch for
Iranian pilots being a bit better than camel jockeys. I personally saw then fly three Iranian Air Force Boeing 747s in military parade formation at a flight demonstration for the Shah in the mid 1970s. That said, my guess is they would fare no better against our Air Force, Navy and Marine aviators than did the Iraqis. It's probably more a matter of motivation than skill. Crown prince Raza, the Shah's son, claims the young people in Iran, including the Revolutionary Guard, are ready to revolt against the murderous mullahs if they can get some support from us western nations. Certainly that would be better all round than our invading yet another middle east country! WDA end "DDAY" wrote in message k.net... There's a very interesting article in the current issue of Combat Aircraft, Vol 7, No. 6. It's by Tom Cooper and Liam F. Devlin and titled "Iran: A Formidable Opponent?" The article is about Iran's current air force capabilities, specifically focusing on the Tomcats in Iranian service (it is in keeping with the issue's focus on the retirement of the Tomcat from USN service; several other magazines are doing similar Tomcat farewell issues). According to the authors, the Tomcat remains in frontline Iranian service and in sizeable numbers. The authors claim that in late 2003 a USAF E-3 Sentry tracked 16--yes, SIXTEEN--Iranian Tomcats flying in formation. This was the largest number spotted at one time since 1997, when nine were tracked over the southern Persian Gulf by the US Navy. The article is somewhat defensive in tone. The authors claim that although Western sources report that the Tomcat is barely operable, this is untrue. The Iranians have put a lot of effort into maintaining and even rebuilding their Tomcats and Phantoms, and they may have as many as 65 Phantoms in service. It said that the US has decided that the Tomcat is barely operable because it no longer operates on the borders, but only deep inside Iran. But they claim that this is actually because the Iranians are trying to preserve their assets and keep their most powerful fighter farther from potential harm. They also make a number of other claims, including that the CIA may have acquired or inspected a Russian MiG-31 in 1997, and that the Russians offered 22 secondhand MiG-31 aircraft to the Iranians, who turned them down. (The CIA reportedly sought to buy these aircraft rather than let the Iranians get them.) The article also claims that the Russians offered Su-27s, Su-30s, and MiG-29s to the Iranians, but the Iranians are wary of buying Russian aircraft because the terms are bad. For instance, the Russians do not allow license building of their jet engines. Simply put, the Russians won't give the Iranians enough independence and the Iranians don't want to get stuck in a position of weakness when it comes to acquiring spare parts for their aircraft. There's a lot of amazing stuff in the article and it would be fascinating if true. But one objection that I've heard others make about Cooper and his other co-writer Farzad Bishop is that it is impossible to independently confirm their information. They might conduct a lot of interviews with Iranian pilots and ex-pat Iranians, but we don't know how carefully they check their information. (This article by Cooper and Devlin concedes that fewer Iranians have left the country since the mid-1990s, so it is harder to speak to Iranians outside the country.) Personally, the one thing I'm dubious about is the claim that Western intelligence agencies do not have a good understanding of just how active the Iranian F-14s are. If they turn on their radars, then the US intel assets in the Persian Gulf will detect them. In addition, satellite photos should also indicate how many F-14s are operable. Sure, the Iranians must keep a lot of them in hangars, but occasionally they will move them around airfields and they can be counted. In fact, somebody with a credit card could order up commercial images of Iranian airfields and check for themselves. So I don't buy the claim that US intel officials think that _virtually no_ F-14s or their AWG-9 radars are still operating. My suspicion is that the authors are responding to misinformed trash talking in the aviation press, not to what US intel actually believes about Iranian capabilities. All that said, the one thing that establishes credibility for Cooper and Devlin (as well as Cooper and Bishop in their books on the Iranian F-4s and F-14s) is the impressive array of photos that they have collected. These include aerial refueling shots of F-4s and Su-24s, as well as formation shots of F-5s and other aircraft, and a very cool grainy image of an F-14 at extremely low altitude over the Gulf. That aircraft is in the current blue/gray paint scheme. They also have a photo of an F-14 with an ATM-54A training round alongside, photographed in April 2004. That raises an interesting point--if the Iranians no longer can operate the AIM-54 Phoenix, then why would they be carrying around training rounds? Clearly they retain some kind of AIM-54 Phoenix capability. D |
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In article , "W. D. Allen"
wrote: Crown prince Raza, the Shah's son, claims the young people in Iran, including the Revolutionary Guard, are ready to revolt against the murderous mullahs if they can get some support from us western nations. Certainly that would be better all round than our invading yet another middle east country! Yeah, but the problem with guys who have vested interests is that they tend to drink their own bathwater. -- Harry Andreas Engineering raconteur |
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#6
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To make the long story short, it is quite ironic that US Navy got rid
of Tomcats just in time when they could face foreign F-14s in battle ;-))) |
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DDAY wrote:
There's a very interesting article in the current issue of Combat Aircraft, Vol 7, No. 6. It's by Tom Cooper and Liam F. Devlin and titled "Iran: A Formidable Opponent?" The article is about Iran's current air force capabilities, specifically focusing on the Tomcats in Iranian service (it is in keeping with the issue's focus on the retirement of the Tomcat from USN service; several other magazines are doing similar Tomcat farewell issues). According to the authors, the Tomcat remains in frontline Iranian service and in sizeable numbers. The authors claim that in late 2003 a USAF E-3 Sentry tracked 16--yes, SIXTEEN--Iranian Tomcats flying in formation. This was the largest number spotted at one time since 1997, when nine were tracked over the southern Persian Gulf by the US Navy. The article is somewhat defensive in tone. The authors claim that although Western sources report that the Tomcat is barely operable, this is untrue. The Iranians have put a lot of effort into maintaining and even rebuilding their Tomcats and Phantoms, and they may have as many as 65 Phantoms in service. It said that the US has decided that the Tomcat is barely operable because it no longer operates on the borders, but only deep inside Iran. But they claim that this is actually because the Iranians are trying to preserve their assets and keep their most powerful fighter farther from potential harm. They also make a number of other claims, including that the CIA may have acquired or inspected a Russian MiG-31 in 1997, and that the Russians offered 22 secondhand MiG-31 aircraft to the Iranians, who turned them down. (The CIA reportedly sought to buy these aircraft rather than let the Iranians get them.) The article also claims that the Russians offered Su-27s, Su-30s, and MiG-29s to the Iranians, but the Iranians are wary of buying Russian aircraft because the terms are bad. For instance, the Russians do not allow license building of their jet engines. Simply put, the Russians won't give the Iranians enough independence and the Iranians don't want to get stuck in a position of weakness when it comes to acquiring spare parts for their aircraft. There's a lot of amazing stuff in the article and it would be fascinating if true. But one objection that I've heard others make about Cooper and his other co-writer Farzad Bishop is that it is impossible to independently confirm their information. They might conduct a lot of interviews with Iranian pilots and ex-pat Iranians, but we don't know how carefully they check their information. (This article by Cooper and Devlin concedes that fewer Iranians have left the country since the mid-1990s, so it is harder to speak to Iranians outside the country.) Personally, the one thing I'm dubious about is the claim that Western intelligence agencies do not have a good understanding of just how active the Iranian F-14s are. If they turn on their radars, then the US intel assets in the Persian Gulf will detect them. In addition, satellite photos should also indicate how many F-14s are operable. Sure, the Iranians must keep a lot of them in hangars, but occasionally they will move them around airfields and they can be counted. In fact, somebody with a credit card could order up commercial images of Iranian airfields and check for themselves. So I don't buy the claim that US intel officials think that _virtually no_ F-14s or their AWG-9 radars are still operating. My suspicion is that the authors are responding to misinformed trash talking in the aviation press, not to what US intel actually believes about Iranian capabilities. All that said, the one thing that establishes credibility for Cooper and Devlin (as well as Cooper and Bishop in their books on the Iranian F-4s and F-14s) is the impressive array of photos that they have collected. These include aerial refueling shots of F-4s and Su-24s, as well as formation shots of F-5s and other aircraft, and a very cool grainy image of an F-14 at extremely low altitude over the Gulf. That aircraft is in the current blue/gray paint scheme. They also have a photo of an F-14 with an ATM-54A training round alongside, photographed in April 2004. That raises an interesting point--if the Iranians no longer can operate the AIM-54 Phoenix, then why would they be carrying around training rounds? Clearly they retain some kind of AIM-54 Phoenix capability. D Cooper, Bishop and Devlin have provided credible artiles on the status of the IRIAF coupled with an warning that those who ignore the capabilities will be doomed to failure against the Iranians. The article implies that there are 44 operational Tomcats instead of 28 operational and 29 inoperational as cited by US intelligence sources. But it was Cooper and Bishop in their 2003 book on the Iraq/Iran war that stated the original assertion of 28/29 as of F-14's. The Iranians are willing to invest thousands of man hours in rebuilding their F-4's and F-14 fleets in an effort to prolong their operational life. That is because they are not able to buy US made aircraft and foreign aircraft with US made parts incorporated in them. That is why they are willing tlo spend all that time and money on refurbishing an aging aircraft ready for the junk pile to zero hour status. For the US to attack Iranian military bases with IRIAF fighters sitting on the tarmac, they would have to expend 300 plus cruise missiles and then wait another 18 months for new build stocks of cruise missiles to come from the manufacturer to replenish their supplies. There is no guarantee that they would be able to destroy all the active Iranian aircraft as the Iranians would commingle the active aircraft with the inactive ones in an effort to compel the US to have to destroy all the aircraft on the base in order to ensure that the fleet of F-4's and F-14's were no longer a threat thereafter. Even if we achieved air superority over the Iranians, we will still have a slog of a battle with the ground elements as they resort to IED's and suicide bombers against American convoys. And that would add to the general operational strain our military is under with wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. To achieve air superority would require that we accept the loss of a few aircraft, including fighter planes and a few prized bombers of B-1 and B-2 vintage. Since we have only 21 B-2's, we cannot lose afford to lose even one or two as that would add immensely to our long term attrition rate for that aircraft and we would not have sufficient numbers of B-2's for a future conflict. It was surprising that the Pentagon and Iran made a secret agreement with each other not to allow their aircraft to attack each other's aircraft in cross border skirmishes. THis helped reduce tension to an extent. Being a deep reader of Early Bird as that is the first thing I read when I come to the office, I never saw any such agreement made with the Iranians by the Pentagon. If the Pentagon could talk with the Iranians, then President Bush should follow the UN Secretary General's advice to talk with the Iranians as it would go a long way toward reducing tensions and then create a downward spiral in the price of oil. It was great to hear one Iranian general tell the world that the opinion of another general who said that Iran would strike Israel in the event of an American attack on their country was his own personal opinion and not that of the Iranian military That went a long way toward assuring Americans that Iran maintains a good command and control structure over its military like we do. So, the ball is in the President's court and we will see what he will do. I believe that an agreable deal can be made between both countries on the nuclear matter in exchange for the United States to promise an non-aggression pact against Iran and for Iran will do the same to the United States. This will go a long way toward reducing fear of terrorism and to help shorten the long war against terrorism that we are fighting. It would not be surprising to see both countries resume diplomatic relations. Onc more curious tidbit. Did the CIA get the 22 Mig-31's from the Russians under their dummy arms buying corporation? James K. Goodwin |
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#9
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interesting artical...i think it will be good practice
for collitition (sp?) forces, to engage and practice "their art".... remember, the f14 is over 30 yrs old... |
#10
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I'm not an expert in naval hardware as many others are. My expertise lies in
policy, admin, and personnel issues. However, I believe we need to keep in mind that this aircraft was built with 1960's technology. Yea....they might have been upgraded...and the Iranians sent many guys my age to western engineering schools (I knew quite a number in college...good students too!!) But many a Tomcat was defeated by an aggressor squadron A-4 and F-5 flown by a well trained and seasoned pilot. How well trained are Iranian pilots and how adept are they in fighting the aircraft? In my mind the biggest concern would be their long range air-air missile capability. What is it? What are our counter measures? It's easy to awe civilians and observers. What I'm curious is what our aviators were thinking. Was it "uh oh!" or "those poor paisons will be dead if they fly against us"? |
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