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#21
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"Matt Whiting" wrote in message
... El Maximo wrote: Two friends of mine got stranded by weather on their way back from Oshkosh a couple years back. They rented an Expedition to drive home, but couldn't fit everything in the plane into the SUV. That has urban legend written all over it. Matt I don't think it qualifies as a legend. Maybe BS, but not legend status yet. As I posted earlier, it may have been an Explorer. I know it was a Skylane, and I know it was a Ford. |
#22
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On Jun 14, 4:58 am, Thomas Borchert
wrote: Ah! I'm not much into beliefs. One thing you say has me stumped, though: The Lidle accident has exactly zip to do with the presence of the chute. There is simply no possible connection. Clue me in, please! -- Thomas Borchert (EDDH) Thomas, Don't you believe that Cirrus airplanes are superior to Cessna airplanes? Don't you believe that GA pilots are adverse to new technologies? (I am too lazy to pull up quotes from you on this in the past). Anyway, so much about beliefs. The Lidle accident serves as an example for me how someone can be lulled into a false sense of safety by wrongfully believing that there will be always a way out. That leads automatically to complacency which is a dangerous thing, especially for pilots. So, I believe (from interviews with Lidle) that he thought he had a super-safe airplane because of the chute. I believe that this was a contributing factor to the accident. No factual proofs here, just beliefs - just as yours. Gerd |
#23
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Gwengler,
Don't you believe that Cirrus airplanes are superior to Cessna airplanes? No. You won't find a quote like that from me, either. It's all a matter of mission requirements, IMHO. I just happen to think the facts do not bear out that Ciruus airplanes are inferior to Cessna - yet you read statements to that effect here quite a lot. Don't you believe that GA pilots are adverse to new technologies? No. I see that tendency quite clearly in posts here, in magazine articles and discussions with fellow pilots. I can back that claim up with fact. No believing required. As for Lidle, I see what you're getting at, and sadly, you may be right. But, as someone said in a similar discussion on another forum: "Pilots who think that way will probably do something stupid with or without a chute." -- Thomas Borchert (EDDH) |
#24
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Very good, Thomas! I respect your opinion (at least your's is based
on facts as opposed to so many here). I just had to laugh, your phrase "I just happen to think" could be construed as "I believe". Gerd |
#25
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Gwengler,
I just had to laugh, your phrase "I just happen to think" could be construed as "I believe". ;-) -- Thomas Borchert (EDDH) |
#26
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In article ,
Thomas Borchert wrote: Gwengler, a) parachute equipped airplane pilots tend to assume greater risk ("all I have to do is to pull the handle") Any kind of factual support for that statement? Even a hint would surprise me. Here's an interesting theory that apparently has at least some experimental validation. Of course, since it's a psychology thing, there's no agreement. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_homeostasis Mike Beede |
#27
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Some,
A safety expert on the show mused that accident rates would plummet if every car was equipped with a four-inch steel spike sticking out of the middle of the steering wheel. Uhm, accident rates DO plummet - with ABS and all the other safety enhancements we have in modern cars. Now what does that do for the theories of psychology experts? -- Thomas Borchert (EDDH) |
#28
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"Mike Beede" wrote in message
... In article , Thomas Borchert wrote: Gwengler, a) parachute equipped airplane pilots tend to assume greater risk ("all I have to do is to pull the handle") Any kind of factual support for that statement? Even a hint would surprise me. Here's an interesting theory that apparently has at least some experimental validation. Of course, since it's a psychology thing, there's no agreement. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_homeostasis Mike Beede That was an interesting link. I was not aware of the Munich study, but my own annecdotal observation in Miami Florida traffic at that time showed the same result. IIRC, insurance loss statistics also showed no change after a fairly short time. It other words, losses returned to their previous level in months, rather than years. Peter |
#29
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Some Other Guy wrote:
Thomas Borchert wrote: Some, A safety expert on the show mused that accident rates would plummet if every car was equipped with a four-inch steel spike sticking out of the middle of the steering wheel. Uhm, accident rates DO plummet - with ABS and all the other safety enhancements we have in modern cars. Now what does that do for the theories of psychology experts? Accident rates do NOT plummet according to the very link posted earlier: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_homeostasis Not only does the Wikipedia entry list one rebuttal to the theory, a Google search for "risk homeostasis" yields several papers that find evidence to the contrary, such as this one: "The risk homeostasis theory posits, in essence, that a control mechanism analogous to the thermal homeostatic system in warm-blooded animals tends to keep risk per unit time constant, and, as a consequence, the number of traffic accidents per unit time of driving also tends to remain constant, essentially independent of changes in the traffic safety system. It is the purpose of the present research to examine the validity of this claim using a wide variety of traffic accident data. All the data examined are found to be incompatible with the risk homeostasis theory. The only specific field accident data offered in the literature to support the risk homeostasis theory are found to, in fact, refute the theory. The accident data provide evidence that a rich variety of user responses occur. While it is possible for users to collectively respond in such a way that safety benefits are completely cancelled, such a response is not particularly common; it is certainly not universally occurring, as suggested by the risk homeostasis theory. It is concluded that the risk homeostasis theory should be rejected because there is no convincing evidence supporting it and much evidence refuting it." From: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/en...o pt=Abstract |
#30
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In article ,
Thomas Borchert wrote: Some, A safety expert on the show mused that accident rates would plummet if every car was equipped with a four-inch steel spike sticking out of the middle of the steering wheel. Uhm, accident rates DO plummet - with ABS and all the other safety enhancements we have in modern cars. Now what does that do for the theories of psychology experts? hmmm, the last I looked the rate of car accidents in the US has been pretty flat (according to statistics pulled from the US National Highway Transportation somethingorother agency). Maybe all the evil cellphone usage is countering the safety improvements... -- Bob Noel (goodness, please trim replies!!!) |
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