Saddam Capture - End to resistance?

The capture of Saddam Hussein (assuming that he is saddam and not a
double or a plant) is a great morale boost for the US and assorted
allies in Iraq. Wonder what effect, if any, it will have on continued
resistance in Iraq.

"Tuollaf43" wrote in message
m...
The capture of Saddam Hussein (assuming that he is saddam and not a
double or a plant) is a great morale boost for the US and assorted
allies in Iraq. Wonder what effect, if any, it will have on continued
resistance in Iraq.

Very little. Saddam was not "leading" the resistance in any way, he was
continuously on the run and hide and likely kept his contacts minimal. (in
fact, pretty much nobody is leading Iraqi resistance, which is both curse
and blessing).

Some of the Fedayeen types might get demoralized (but some may get fired
up), but those insurgents who just hate Americans, and possible Al Qaeda
affiliates are not going to get affected in any way.

The real test for the resistance are following 5-6 months, when their
initial stockpiles are running dry, and original cadres are getting
depleted. If it still continues after that, then you could say that
Coalition is indeed in trouble. Of course by then USA is switching authority
to Iraqi and likely in process of bailing out. Good news for USA is that
capture of Saddam removes a symbolic obstacle for changeover.

Tuollaf43 wrote:

: The capture of Saddam Hussein (assuming that he is saddam and not a
: double or a plant) is a great morale boost for the US and assorted
: allies in Iraq. Wonder what effect, if any, it will have on continued
: resistance in Iraq.

Very hard to predict. Saddam was caught, if I understood
the words of gen. Sanchez correctly, hiding in a hole wich
was dug in the basement of a house and camouflaged with
debris and dirt. As close to grave as you can get while
still alive; his role in the resistance was probably
insignificant. Judging from the look of him, his first
priorities would have been a square meal and a haircut.

His capture will be a demoralizing blow to the Baathist
resistance groups. But for other opposition movements,
for example hardline muslim groups, it may actually have
a positive influence on recruitment, because they can now
no longer be accused of fighting for Saddam.

Saddam's capture will convince many Iraqis that there will
be no return to the old regime and make them more willing
to cooperate with the CPA. On the other hand, it also
removes one of the major justifications for the continued
presence of coalition troops in Iraq.

I suspect that in the final balance, it will make little
difference one way or the other.

--
Emmanuel Gustin

In article ,
(Tuollaf43) wrote:

The capture of Saddam Hussein (assuming that he is saddam and not a
double or a plant)

I'm fairly sure they actually captured Jack Elam:

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...photos_wl/r262
7088136.jpg

--
cirby at cfl.rr.com

Remember: Objects in rearview mirror may be hallucinations.
Slam on brakes accordingly.

"Yama" wrote in message
...

"Tuollaf43" wrote in message
m...
The capture of Saddam Hussein (assuming that he is saddam and not a
double or a plant) is a great morale boost for the US and assorted
allies in Iraq. Wonder what effect, if any, it will have on continued
resistance in Iraq.

Very little. Saddam was not "leading" the resistance in any way, he was
continuously on the run and hide and likely kept his contacts minimal. (in
fact, pretty much nobody is leading Iraqi resistance, which is both curse
and blessing).

Back in 1869 my family went to South Carolina to enforce the thirteenth
amandment. Most of the major slave holders in the US lived there and
although the slaves had heard of the Emancipation Proclimation, the
Thirteenth Amenedment and Reconstruction, basicly nothing had changed in
their lives. It was not until Tarvers put the Master in a tree, that the
People knew that they were free. (and his sons with him, should he resist)

"Chad Irby" wrote in message
news
In article ,
(Tuollaf43) wrote:

The capture of Saddam Hussein (assuming that he is saddam and not a
double or a plant)

I'm fairly sure they actually captured Jack Elam:

That would be consistent with the validity of your other posts, Chad.

"Chad Irby" wrote in message
news

I'm fairly sure they actually captured Jack Elam:


I believe Jack Elam died a few months ago, unless it was actually a Saddam
double.

"Tarver Engineering" wrote:

That would be consistent with the validity of your other posts, Chad.

Well, I feel better.

If you can manage to get an insult from Tarver, you must be doing
something right.

--
cirby at cfl.rr.com

Remember: Objects in rearview mirror may be hallucinations.
Slam on brakes accordingly.

"Chad Irby" wrote in message
...
"Tarver Engineering" wrote:

That would be consistent with the validity of your other posts, Chad.

Well, I feel better.

If you can manage to get an insult from Tarver, you must be doing
something right.

There is nothing insulting in pointing out the disconnection from reality
your posts reveal, Chad. Stay as you are, 'cause you provide much
entertainment to those that know a little about the industry.

"Steven P. McNicoll" wrote:

"Chad Irby" wrote in message
news

I'm fairly sure they actually captured Jack Elam:

I believe Jack Elam died a few months ago, unless it was actually a
Saddam double.

(Watches joke sail completely over Steven's head...)

--
cirby at cfl.rr.com

Remember: Objects in rearview mirror may be hallucinations.
Slam on brakes accordingly.