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Gene Kearns wrote:
On Wed, 22 Dec 2004 11:14:50 -0500, alexy wrote: Some of these engines may not be that far from a 1937 tractor engine, but, you know what? 65+ years later, we still haven't found anything affordable and reliable enough to replace them.... AND if they were sold for what they were *worth* they probably sell for less than $1000 per cylinder, new..... but that is another story.... I guess "worth" is subjective. They are worth far more than that to a lot of pilots who fly behind them. And if pilots suddenly decided that they would only pay $1,000 per cylinder, I wonder if any would be made? I suspect that the increased market at that price would be small enough that they could never get the economies of scale to manufacture for that price. Then by the same logic, that 8 cylinder engine in your automobile is "worth" $40,000+. I don't see how that is the same logic. People are willing to pay $20k+ for a 4-cyliner aircraft engine, but I doubt if any of them would be willing to pay $40k for an 8-cylinder auto engine. So for them, the aircraft engine is worth $5k+ per cylinder, while the auto engine is not. How do you define "worth"? It is hard to make the economy of scale argument and the "these things haven't changed in 50 years" argument at the same time. The second year you go into production you have your tooling and a track record. First, I wouldn't make the "these things haven't changed in 50 years" argument. No question that the changes haven't been as dramatic as in other engines based on this Pre-WWII technology (the internal combustion engine), but it's a matter of degree. Secondly, if the tooling for the annual production of 100,000 units of product x were just 500 copies of the tooling for producing 200 units per year, this argument would have merit. But I am not aware of any manufacturing processes that work that way. If we forget that these are aircraft engines and just look at the fact that they are machined castings and forgings.... there is no way we can justify the astronomical price tags.... Well, there is liability insurance, testing, and above all, the law of supply and demand. 1) People are willing to pay those prices, 2) companies making these products have assessed the market and determined that lowering prices would not sell enough additional units to increase profits 3) companies with the engineering and manufacturing expertise to create competitive products have for the most part decided that they can't produce them inexpensively enough to attract enough market share to make a profit, and 4) the few companies who have tried to enter the market with competitive products have proven the others in point 3 right. What kind of "justification" do you have in mind? By all means, if you can make a profit building and selling them for less, put together a business plan and go talk to venture capitalists! g -- Alex -- Replace "nospam" with "mail" to reply by email. Checked infrequently. |
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