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David Megginson wrote
I'm curious where the statistics are that show that most pilots cannot handle an AI failure in IMC. This FAA report http://www1.faa.gov/fsdo/orl/files/advcir/P874052.TXT states that vacuum failures are a factor in an average of 2 accidents per year, and that there is an average of one vacuum-related accident for every 40,000 to 50,000 GA IFR flight plans filed. That doesn't tell us much, though, since we don't know how many non-fatal vacuum failures occurred during those flights. I have about 700 hours flying behind a dry pump, and one catastrophic failure. I also have about 1400 hours flying planes with gyros (some of my time is in gliders and no-gyro taildraggers) and at least three gyro failures. I have to believe that vacuum or gyro failure occurs AT LEAST once every 1000 hours. Assuming that the average GA IFR flight plan leads to 30 minutes of IMC (I know a lot of them are filed procedurally so I'm being pessimistic) that still sounds like 1 accident in 20,000 hours. So it sounds to me like 95%+ of the pilots who experience vacuum or gyro failure are handling it without an accident. From what I've seen of GA IFR pilots, at most 10% are getting recurrent training in partial panel operations to PTS standards. Michael |
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