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#16
September 15th 04, 05:30 PM
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"Cockpit Colin" wrote in message ... If the chances of being involved in a fire was 1 in a million and the passengers only ever flew one flight then their chance would be one in a million. If I flew 1 million flights then, statistically speaking, my worst fears would come true eventually. Wrong. If the chance is 1 in a million each time you fly the chance is 1:1,000,000 on the first flight and 1:1,000,000 on the millionith flight. The dice don't have a memory. You are simply taking the 1:1,000,000 chance more often than your passengers. 
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