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Speed limits, seat belts, ABS, airbags, crumple zones,
roll over bars, BRS, parachutes, and ejector seats have nothing whatsoever to do with preventing accidents, they are only there to mitigate the outcome. Every accident has the potential to cause death or serious injury, whether that occurs is really a matter of pure blind chance. People are the cause of accidents and the only way to prevent them is to edjucate so that they do not happen. All the gadgets do is reduce the chance of injury when we screw up. Far too often the outcome of the accident is considered the priority in any investigation instead of the cause. At 14:12 27 April 2004, Tom Seim wrote: I'm not saying this is a good tradeoff or a poor one, but it's disingenuous to pretend it's not there. It's equally disingenuous to pretend that we couldn't prevent 95% of highway fatalities quite easily. All it would take is a 35 mph speed limit for divided highways and a 17 mph speed limit for other roads - and draconian enforcement. It wouldn't prevent the accidents, but it would eliminate most of the fatalities. Of course we don't do this because we want to get where we are going quickly. Michael This has been the argument against raising the speed limits on our highways, ever since they were lowered by that benevolent dictator Jimmy Carter. The only problem, the argument is wrong! We learned that after raising the limits and watched the fatality rates continue to drop. Common wisdom is, sometimes, uncommon nonsense. I think the problem is tunnel vision safety analysis by 'experts' that vastly overrate their abilities. Part of the problem with the speed limits is that drivers weren't obeying the limits to begin with. Raising the limits merely reflected the reality of the situation. Draconian enforcement simply won't work, at least not (fortunately) in the U.S., because law enforcement works only by voluntary compliance. There simply are not enough cops and jails out there to impose a law that the vast majority of the population won't accept. This clearly happened with the poorly thought out national speed limit. But there still is a group that, even with all of the evidence to the contrary, thinks that it will work. Instead, we should put the effort into things that do work. The most dramatic example of this is mandatory seat belt usage. In Washington state this became a primary law (you can be stopped for it), which resulted in compliance rates in the 85-90% range (instead of 15-20% before there was any law). No changes were required to cars since the belts were already there. Most people have accepted the law, but there is still a vociferous minority that reject it. Everybody benefits, besides being safer, with lower insurance rates. Tom Seim |
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