State of GA safety (2005 Nall Report)

"Andrew Sarangan" wrote in message
oups.com...
Clustering can reduce the rate for one year and elevate it for another
year. However, the report shows that accident rates have been declining
for the past 10 years, which is a significant point.


Jose wrote:
I read on AvWeb today the '05 Nall Report is out, and apparently 2004
was a historic low for aviation accidents. This led me to question what
next year's report will look like after considering the spate of GA
accidents that we've all read about in the last year or so. Maybe it's
just a question of perception? Or, are pilots just getting too
complacent when they strap into their aircraft?

Or maybe it's just a statistical artifact. Shift a few accidents from
December to January, and shift a few others from next January to this
December, and you have a banner year for airplane crashes caused simply
by the artificial boundaries of the sample set.

"Shift" as in reporting a December accident as if it occured in January?

"Shift" as in reporting a December accident as if it occured in January?

No, shift as having an accident in December instead of January.

Jose
--
Money: what you need when you run out of brains.
for Email, make the obvious change in the address.

wrote in message
ups.com...
I read on AvWeb today the '05 Nall Report is out, and apparently 2004
was a historic low for aviation accidents. This led me to question what
next year's report will look like after considering the spate of GA
accidents that we've all read about in the last year or so. Maybe it's
just a question of perception? Or, are pilots just getting too
complacent when they strap into their aircraft?


You mean "considering the spate of people posting every GA accident they
come across"...

I don't see how the morbid fascination of some individuals here could have
any effect on the actual number of accidents.

--
Geoff
The Sea Hawk at Wow Way d0t Com
remove spaces and make the obvious substitutions to reply by mail
Spell checking is left as an excercise for the reader.

You mean "considering the spate of people posting every GA accident they
come across"...

Well, as I am a frequent visitor to this forum I suppose that could
have influenced my perception.

I don't see how the morbid fascination of some individuals here could have
any effect on the actual number of accidents.

It doesn't.

For those who want to do their own statistical analysis, this is an
interesting site:

http://www.ntsb.gov/ntsb/query.asp


Limit the date range to Jan. 1 - Dec. 31, 2005 and plug in your favorite
manufacturer in the Make/Model box.
You'd be amazed.




wrote in message
ups.com...
I read on AvWeb today the '05 Nall Report is out, and apparently 2004
was a historic low for aviation accidents. This led me to question what
next year's report will look like after considering the spate of GA
accidents that we've all read about in the last year or so. Maybe it's
just a question of perception? Or, are pilots just getting too
complacent when they strap into their aircraft?