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![]() "BDS" wrote in message et... "gatt" wrote in message ... "Paul kgyy" wrote in message ups.com... In response to the original post, the oil companies are doing what they are supposed to do; maximize value to their shareholders, which you could become if you care to. I could become a pornographer, pimp or mercenary, too. Ethics. It is not unethical to sell your product for the highest price possible. Quite! As it is with one's salary demands; your pay rate is YOUR price for YOUR services and depends on the MARKET. |
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On Jun 7, 10:35 am, Paul kgyy wrote:
In response to the original post, the oil companies are doing what they are supposed to do; maximize value to their shareholders, which you could become if you care to. In the long run, though, it's worth considering that worldwide oil production will probably peak and trend down in the next 5 years, while demand from China and other emerging economies continues to rise. There's only one outcome from that unless we learn to use what's there more efficiently. Ethanol is a bum's rush because it requires a lot of energy to produce, and so its cost of production can only go up. Same for tar sands. I guess it's time to really get to work on that fission reactor for my PA28. But if everybody did that, the supply of yellowcake would probably run out too. We have an entire world economy built around the assumption of unlimited supply of cheap energy. Whatever became of those guys who swore they had observe a fusion reaction in a laboratory bottle about 20 years ago? Will it really peak in 5 years? I think not. Google Thomas Gold and non-biogenic oil and you will find that the party line may not be true. |
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![]() Will it really peak in 5 years? I think not. Google Thomas Gold and non-biogenic oil and you will find that the party line may not be true. Not sure about the peak - depends on how good the reserve estimates of the Saudis are, but then we know they never lie, do they? Thomas Gold and Fred Hoyle were astronomers who between them came up with a number of pretty wild ideas, one of which was that Venus would turn out to be solid petrocarbons. So far, apparently Sweden has actually found 80 barrels of oil in their test of Gold's hypothesis after spending $$millions of dollars drilling in crystalline rock. But the source of that 80 barrels might just be percolation from nearby oilbearing strata. Would you feel any better if production peaks in 10 years instead of 5 in the face of increasing demand? |
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Paul kgyy wrote:
Will it really peak in 5 years? I think not. Google Thomas Gold and non-biogenic oil and you will find that the party line may not be true. Not sure about the peak - depends on how good the reserve estimates of the Saudis are, but then we know they never lie, do they? Thomas Gold and Fred Hoyle were astronomers who between them came up with a number of pretty wild ideas, one of which was that Venus would turn out to be solid petrocarbons. So far, apparently Sweden has actually found 80 barrels of oil in their test of Gold's hypothesis after spending $$millions of dollars drilling in crystalline rock. But the source of that 80 barrels might just be percolation from nearby oilbearing strata. Would you feel any better if production peaks in 10 years instead of 5 in the face of increasing demand? No, but with increases in drilling technology that number might well be 100 years. |
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On Jun 8, 1:07 pm, "Gig 601XL Builder" wrDOTgiaconaATsuddenlink.net
wrote: Would you feel any better if production peaks in 10 years instead of 5 in the face of increasing demand? No, but with increases in drilling technology that number might well be 100 years. Or not..... If there are 100 years of production, we might have enough time to find alternative somethings. If there are substantially fewer years, worst case we are already in deep doo-doo. So, ya feel lucky???? Or do you think that working on conservation and increased efficiency might be a good idea. After all, there is no downside to using less fuel to do the same thing now, is there? |
#6
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On Jun 8, 1:54 pm, Paul kgyy wrote:
Will it really peak in 5 years? I think not. Google Thomas Gold and non-biogenic oil and you will find that the party line may not be true. Not sure about the peak - depends on how good the reserve estimates of the Saudis are, but then we know they never lie, do they? Thomas Gold and Fred Hoyle were astronomers who between them came up with a number of pretty wild ideas, one of which was that Venus would turn out to be solid petrocarbons. So far, apparently Sweden has actually found 80 barrels of oil in their test of Gold's hypothesis after spending $$millions of dollars drilling in crystalline rock. But the source of that 80 barrels might just be percolation from nearby oilbearing strata. Would you feel any better if production peaks in 10 years instead of 5 in the face of increasing demand? The amount of oil wasn't the point, the fact that there were 80 barrels of oil in what has been considered non-oil bearing rock (granite) at a depth where it shouldn't be is a strong support for the non-biogenic theory. Russia looked at the results of this experiment and decided to explore the Dneiper river basin, a place where conventional theory said oil wouldn't be likely. That basin is now the largest oil producing field in all of Russia. There is a technical paper written by a couple of Russian petroleum engineers on this topic that I have read, it is very interesting. Western oil companies continue to publicly poo-poo the non-biogenic theory, but the Russians seem to have adopted it. Coal is clearly biogenic, but there is a lot of coal in the world which can account for ancient plant and animal life trapped in the earth. Oil comes from very deep down, and it is harder to believe that dead plants and animals could be responsible for all that oil at such great depths. The recent findings that the oil in one of the Gulf of Mexico fields was being replenished from a deeper source via a fault line (reported in the Wall Street Journal) also tends to support this theory. Thomas Gold was right about the composition of the surface of the moon, and of the nature of pulsars, and has been right about a lot of other things that were initially considered far out. Time will tell, but I think there is a lot of merit in the non-biogenic theory. While people believe that the supply of oil is very limited, the prices will remain high. If it is found that the supply is way underestimated, the value of the oil will drop (standard commodity rules apply) which is not in the best interest of the oil companies or OPEC. I expect that we will be told that the oil supply will peak in 5 years for at least the next 100 years. It will just always be 5 years away from whatever day they happen to say it. |
#7
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![]() "Paul kgyy" wrote in message ups.com... In response to the original post, the oil companies are doing what they are supposed to do; maximize value to their shareholders, which you could become if you care to. In the long run, though, it's worth considering that worldwide oil production will probably peak and trend down in the next 5 years, No, it won't (short of a nuclear conflagration, or Middle East nuke fest). The only limits to production are POLITICAL. In about 1960, a mile deep well was a big deal; now it's an undergrad school project. |
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