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#361
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On Mar 14, 6:58 pm, "Dan Luke" wrote:
"Dan" wrote: The US already has nuclear power. Bertie Just not enough of it. Indeed. Times and technology have changed; time to ramp up nuclear infrastructure. Still have to get past the NIMBY problem with the waste, though. And other problems... "There is a possible impediment to production of nuclear power plants, due to a backlog at Japan Steel Works, the only factory in the world able to manufacture the central part of a nuclear reactor's containment vessel in a single piece, which reduces the risk of a radiation leak. The company can only make four per year of the steel forgings, which contain radioactivity in a nuclear reactor. It will double its capacity in the next two years, but still will not be able to to meet current global ddemand promptly. Utilities across the world are submitting orders years in advance of any actual need. Other manufacturers are examining various options, including making the component themselves, or finding ways to make a similar item using alternate methods. " -Wikipedia I'm more than confident that we can quickly ramp up to meet this need domestically if there is adequate demand. With all due respect to whatever writer posted that wikipedia entry -- We haven't forgotten how to make steel in Pittsburgh. Dan Mc |
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After I am finished at the office at noon I am going to the airport
and gasp start two engines count em and go out and wildly blow enough dino dung out the exhaust to send the climate to temperatures that might even bring the dinosaurs back... T. Rex will worship me... And I will continue to do this as long as I have breath and enough money to by fuel... Amen, brother! Hallelujah! :-) -- Jay Honeck Iowa City, IA Pathfinder N56993 www.AlexisParkInn.com "Your Aviation Destination" |
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On Fri, 14 Mar 2008 11:45:58 GMT, Jay Maynard
wrote: On 2008-03-14, Roger wrote: If we all just practiced conservation there would be no need for new power plants and we could eliminate the need for importing crude to use in auto fuel. That part is simple math. Raising the fleet average to 30 MPG would be far more than sufficient to make us independent of foreign oil for fuel. That's not conservation, that's deprivation. Not true. Raising the fleet average to 30 MPG would require replacing a large portion of the fleet with European-style econoboxes. Simple physics will tell you Most mid size cars could be quite capable of getting 30 plus with fuel efficient engines. There is no need to remove the large trucks. We are talking "fleet average," not the mileage of every truck. You use common sense. Those that can do so, could use the hybrids. Those that really need the larger vans and SUVs could still use them and the trucks could still remain. IOW we use what we need , not what we think we'd like. Sure, I'd like a Hummer (I'm referring to the 4-wheel kind), or a new SUV for hauling all the stuff around I usually have with me, but for the vast majority of trips I don't need anything larger than my wife's Hybrid. Nor does every family with kids in sports need a super long van. It's time these people learn about car pooling. that that's going to dramatically lower fleet safety, especially in light of Why. They have found that the small car against the large may not fare well, but the large SUVs against another large SUV fares even worse. Today's cars, even the small ones are far safer than those of say 30 or 40 years ago when I was driving a 5600# Pontiac Bonneville convertible. Back then cars were BIG. A few years back I took a full size GMC SUV broadside at cruise speed. Yes it totaled my Transam. BUT other than being punchier than two 6-packs on an empty stomach I didn't even get bruised. The driver of the SUV ended up in the hospital. With education and attitude there is no need for the hybrids to be unsafe. the massive numbers of large commercial trucks that would still be needed to You don't have to get rid of the commercial trucks. The fleet average can nicely be taken care of by the cars. transport goods. (Getting rid of those would *really* wreck the economy in short order.) There's also the minor matter of the mission profiles of many folks, who a European econobox simply won't fit. You don't need to go to the little econoboxes. With 120 million family homes switching the incandescent lights to CFLs would eliminate the need for roughly some where between 4 and 6 electric generation plants. That would free up part of the electric grid so it could be used to power electric cars which at current rates for most of the country (excluding California) make the cost of operating one a fraction of a gas powered car. It would also generate a booming market in hazmat remediation, as common Pure BS. There is so little mercury in a CFL you sweep 'em up, put in a plastic bag and properly dispose. Air out the room if paranoid. household accidents that would result in lamp breakage turn into major environmental disasters...not to mention simply disposing of them when they finally do burn out. As for the electric car, let me once again use those two magic words: "mission profile". I'll consider one when I can get one that will go 400 No one said use the electric car for long trips hauling heavy loads. The average trip made by cars is short and typically round trip to work, or in to see the kids play what ever sport. Car pooling could take care of a lot this. OTOH we have both a Hybrid that I mentioned gets 46-47 MPG average.(winter/summer) and an SUV that gets 18 MPG. Normally the Hybrid gets used and it'll haul 4 adults comfortably unless you try to put two really tall ones in the back seat. 2, 6 footers with normal leg length would fit comfortably. At any rate, we still have the SUV but our mileage happens to be well above 30 MPG for any given period. However for those that need the extra room and load capacity they could still have it. I reiterate, FLEET AVERAGE does not mean every car and tuck has to get that mileage. It's expected that all of them averaged together would get that. Big difference. miles on a charge, while hauling four people and a substantial amount of stuff, and recharge in 10 minutes so I can go 400 more. My current vehicle will do that quite easily, and I bought it because I need that capability. This is the typical "all or nothing" argument against better mileage or conservation. When it comes to the cars on the road, most of us don't need a big pickup truck, monster SUV or 5,000# luxury car. Getting rid of all but the ones needed would not ruin the economy. Yes,I have an SUV but I only drive it when needed. Going to smaller cars for the ones who can would not have any great impact on safety and changing to CFLs to be followed by LEDs would not create a great boom in hazmat teams. Of course the LEDs are far preferable over CFLs, but they are currently very expensive. Give 'em a couple years and they just might be on par with today's CFL, but far more efficient and almost indefinite life with very little heat given off and no starter required. The greatest impact on safety would be getting the public to quit accepting a yearly highway death toll of between 40 and 50,000 as acceptable. Maybe the biggest at present would be to build a jamming device to prevent cell phones being used while the car is in motion and education. Although when it comes to education it's more one of changing attitudes. We have big problems with people making up their own rules of the road. Speaking of which, do they still teach those in driver's ed?. Today there seems to be an element in society that fights any change to improve things. They argue endlessly against global warming and mankind's contribution, yet mainstream science has all but accepted it even in face of our government's efforts to deny its existence. When it comes to conservation there are endless excuses as to why we can't or shouldn't do it, but we can save money and safely have a cleaner more healthy environment. The catch is we have to be willing to take responsibility and work to achieve these ends. Nothing comes without some kind of cost including "business as usual" which probably has the highest long term cost of any option. Roger Halstead (K8RI & ARRL life member) (N833R, S# CD-2 Worlds oldest Debonair) www.rogerhalstead.com |
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On Fri, 14 Mar 2008 04:37:13 -0700 (PDT), Denny
wrote: snip After I am finished at the office at noon I am going to the airport and gasp start two engines count em and go out and wildly blow enough dino dung out the exhaust to send the climate to temperatures that might even bring the dinosaurs back... T. Rex will worship me... And I will continue to do this as long as I have breath and enough money to by fuel... One of the things I like about Denny; you always know where he stands. Another is he doesn't come up with a buch of lame assed excuses. denny Roger Halstead (K8RI & ARRL life member) (N833R, S# CD-2 Worlds oldest Debonair) www.rogerhalstead.com |
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On Mar 14, 10:05 pm, Roger wrote:
With education and attitude there is no need for the hybrids to be unsafe. It's not me I'm worried about when I drive. It's the multiple mental deficients who drive drunk, pass on turns or before the crest if a hill, drive too fast for conditions (usually on bald tires), blow through stop signs and lights, ad nauseum. They've certainly been (minimally) "educated," but they are rolling hazards until they finally plow into a tree or take out an innocent coming around the back side of the same turn. If I could afford it, I would drive an M1-Abrams -- the speed is good, the comfort is very good, the brakes are awesome, and the main gun is stabilized. I wouldn't drive a HMMWV if you gave it to me (now if I still had a driver -- maybe) Dan Mc |
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On 2008-03-15, Roger wrote:
Most mid size cars could be quite capable of getting 30 plus with fuel efficient engines. There is no need to remove the large trucks. We are talking "fleet average," not the mileage of every truck. There are a nontrivial number of trucks, and 4-6 MPG is the rule rather than the exception. It takes a lot of econoboxes to counterbalance that. You use common sense. Those that can do so, could use the hybrids. Those that really need the larger vans and SUVs could still use them and the trucks could still remain. IOW we use what we need , not what we think we'd like. That's not the way the American system works. The only person entitled to make a decision as to what vehicle they need to purchase is the buyer. Not you, not me, not the government, and certainly not some enviro-wacko who knows nothing about the buyer's needs. Sure, I'd like a Hummer (I'm referring to the 4-wheel kind), I wouldn't. I've had an H3 as a rental, and never got comfortable driving it: you can hardly see out of the passenger side windows from the driver's seat. or a new SUV for hauling all the stuff around I usually have with me, I drive a small SUV because I can only have one vehicle, and need the capabilities it provides a nontrivial portion of the time. Yes, a Prius would handle my most common mission, but if it's just more than me and a minimal amount of stuff (and I do mean minimal: when I've had a Prius as a rental, the storage area was barely big enough for two carryon-sized suitcases and a briefcase), then I'm hosed. but for the vast majority of trips I don't need anything larger than my wife's Hybrid. Nor does every family with kids in sports need a super long van. It's time these people learn about car pooling. Soemone has to have the van to do the carpool in. Why should one person get stuck with that? that that's going to dramatically lower fleet safety, especially in light of Why. They have found that the small car against the large may not fare well, but the large SUVs against another large SUV fares even worse. Today's cars, even the small ones are far safer than those of say 30 or 40 years ago when I was driving a 5600# Pontiac Bonneville convertible. Back then cars were BIG. Physics. Yes, cars of the same size are safer today than they were 40 years ago. A smaller car will stll always come out worse in a collision with a bigger vehicle than a larger one. A few years back I took a full size GMC SUV broadside at cruise speed. Yes it totaled my Transam. BUT other than being punchier than two 6-packs on an empty stomach I didn't even get bruised. The driver of the SUV ended up in the hospital. With education and attitude there is no need for the hybrids to be unsafe. Let me guess: you were wearing the seat belt, and the SUV driver wasn't? That's not an indictment of the SUV, but of the idiot who wasn't wearing his seat belt. (I'm a former paramedic. There are a few things I get rabid about, and seat belts top the list.) A hybrid SUV might be more fuel efficient than its conventional counterpart. Then again, it might not be. I looked at the hybrid version of my SUV when I was first considering buying it, but ruled it out for one simple reason: 95% of my driving is at highway speed, where a hybrid provides no benefit. The extra purchase cost, plus the battery replacement at 100K miles (and yes, I do keep vehicles past that point), far outweighed any possible fuel savings given my driving needs. the massive numbers of large commercial trucks that would still be needed to You don't have to get rid of the commercial trucks. The fleet average can nicely be taken care of by the cars. Sure, if you sentence everyone to drive an econobox. You don't need to go to the little econoboxes. Either you do that or else you add $6-8K to the price of every car and significantly cut its cargo capacity by turning it into a hybrid. It would also generate a booming market in hazmat remediation, as common Pure BS. There is so little mercury in a CFL you sweep 'em up, put in a plastic bag and properly dispose. Air out the room if paranoid. If that's the case, why is government raising the alarm? See, for example, http://www.npr.org/templates/story/s...toryId=7431198 . As for the electric car, let me once again use those two magic words: "mission profile". I'll consider one when I can get one that will go 400 No one said use the electric car for long trips hauling heavy loads. If that's the only car I have, I have no choice. I make those trips, so I have to have a vehicle that will do the job. Or are you suggesting that I be forced to buy two cars, one for the few local trips I make and one for the missions the first won't handle? The average trip made by cars is short and typically round trip to work, or in to see the kids play what ever sport. Car pooling could take care of a lot this. The average person's average trip, in a city, maybe. Ask someone living in a small rural town what their average trip is. This kind of fallacious generalization is why government regulation of what people buy is simply wrong. However for those that need the extra room and load capacity they could still have it. I reiterate, FLEET AVERAGE does not mean every car and tuck has to get that mileage. It's expected that all of them averaged together would get that. Big difference. That does nothing for those of us who aren't average. Driving up the fleet average will require that the vehicles that will handle my mission be unavailable, or else emasculated to the point they're unsafe. This is the typical "all or nothing" argument against better mileage or conservation. When it comes to the cars on the road, most of us don't need a big pickup truck, monster SUV or 5,000# luxury car. I don't either. My small SUV does the job. However, I REFUSE to try to tell someone else what they need or don't need. I cannot make that judgment for them. They can only do that for themselves. The alternative is central planning, comrade. Of course the LEDs are far preferable over CFLs, but they are currently very expensive. Give 'em a couple years and they just might be on par with today's CFL, but far more efficient and almost indefinite life with very little heat given off and no starter required. And if they do that, I'll happily switch. (Assuming they don't flicker annoyingly when fed 60 Hz AC.) That's the real key to doing the environmentally correct thing: Make it economically justifiable, too. I don't mean artificially raising the cost through taxation or anything like that. (The same arguments that justify doing that in other circumstances can be used to justify raising the cost of fuel for your Debonair to $10 a gallon. How much does it burn an hour?) I mean make it save real money. The greatest impact on safety would be getting the public to quit accepting a yearly highway death toll of between 40 and 50,000 as acceptable. No argument from me on this one. Maybe the biggest at present would be to build a jamming device to prevent cell phones being used while the car is in motion and education. Got a 2-meter rig in your car, OM? I do, and have had ever since I owned a car. (Well, sometimes it was just 440, but you get the idea.) Just because some people can't talk and drive doesn't mean everyone can't. Today there seems to be an element in society that fights any change to improve things. When the suggested improvement is a drastic change in the way we live, and where we live, and how we live, you bet your ass you're going to get resistance, at least here in our free society. You see, the government isn't supposed to treat us like the Chinese government treats its people, but that's exactly what the enviro-wackos are calling for. Nothing comes without some kind of cost including "business as usual" which probably has the highest long term cost of any option. That has yet to be demonstrated to the satisfaction of a lot of Americans. If you're so keen on saving the planet, why haven't you junked your Debonair and bought something smaller? -- Jay Maynard, K5ZC http://www.conmicro.com http://jmaynard.livejournal.com http://www.tronguy.net Fairmont, MN (FRM) (Yes, that's me!) AMD Zodiac CH601XLi N55ZC (getting ready to order) |
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Jay Maynard schrieb:
A hybrid SUV might be more fuel efficient than its conventional counterpart. a hybrid is (besides the capability to produce a little bit of energy while slowing down) only another way to transport energy. You still (mainly) burn coal to heat water to produce electricity, then store it in batteries. I doubt that the overall ecological calculation is in favor of a (Honda) hybrid. #m |
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Modern discourse is based upon the feminization of American society. We
don't argue the logic of global warming, we decide based upon how the subject makes us feel. So we drive to the mall in our Expeditions to protest Big Oil and the lack of wind turbines. Oh, wind turbines -- they will interfere with our view when we go sailing. The turbines might kill birds, and that makes us feel sad. Nuclear power is out because we don't understand it and that little symbol makes us feel scared. No matter that Ontario Hydro should really be called Ontario Nuclear, and the French -- the French! -- derive the bulk of their electricty from nuclear power. Hard, cold reason has all but disappeared as a controlling factor in American life. As I see it, there is no practical replacement for oil. Even if we stop burning it, we will still need it (or its cousin, natural gas) for plastics, pharmaceuticals and everything else the petrochemical industry provides us. We won't be able to stop burning oil for at least 3 or 4 decades. To me, the global warming argument is entirely immaterial. We need to reduce our carbon emissions not because we are making the earth warmer (which we're not) but as a matter of national security. We must develop our own oil as quickly and as thoroughly as possible, and at the same time develop a replacement for burning oil for personal transportation. We must reduce the insane outflow of our national wealth to the same people who have sworn to kill us. And I mean things that are real, not "switch to solar power" or "build more wind mills" -- which are nice, warm-fuzzy things to do that (unfortunately) have a negligible impact on our energy production needs. No matter how much everyone wishes for it, we're not going to escape our need for big-box power plants that run on fossil or nuclear fuels -- at least not unless we're willing to largely dismantle modern society. |
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![]() "LWG" wrote: making the earth warmer (which we're not) sigh Sorry, I can't let that bald assertion pass. Why do you believe that? Just because you want to, or do you have empirical reasons? but as a matter of national security. We must develop our own oil as quickly and as thoroughly as possible, and at the same time develop a replacement for burning oil for personal transportation. We must reduce the insane outflow of our national wealth to the same people who have sworn to kill us. Absolutely. Our national security and economy will both continue to degrade until we do something real about this. |
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On Mar 15, 3:55 pm, "Dan Luke" wrote:
"LWG" wrote: making the earth warmer (which we're not) sigh Sorry, I can't let that bald assertion pass. Why do you believe that? Just because you want to, or do you have empirical reasons? but as a matter of national security. We must develop our own oil as quickly and as thoroughly as possible, and at the same time develop a replacement for burning oil for personal transportation. We must reduce the insane outflow of our national wealth to the same people who have sworn to kill us. Absolutely. Our national security and economy will both continue to degrade until we do something real about this. Among the readily available answers is coal liquefaction for required IC applications, nuclear power for the electric grid, and greater efficiencies encouraged by market forces. There are enough coal and oil shale reserves in the US alone to provide internal demand needs for 150-500 years (depending on whose data you apply and the expected consumption rate). This coupled with Natural Gas reserves provides ample energy though the next century, with existing technology and counting known reserves. Dan Mc |
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