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#42
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What have we learned from all this?
Oops, the German study said "0,37 percent",Â* in US speak, that's 0.37%
or 0.0037. On 4/9/2020 10:52 AM, wrote: Germans saying .3 death rate. https://www.bccourier.com/these-are-...insberg-study/ -- Dan, 5J |
#43
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What have we learned from all this?
On Thursday, April 9, 2020 at 3:20:08 PM UTC-5, Dan Marotta wrote:
Oops, the German study said "0,37 percent",Â* in US speak, that's 0.37% or 0.0037. Dan, 5J Dan; You're smarter than you think. 0.3 percent is indeed 0.37%, .0037 is the multiple. However, most readers have misinterpreted the half-completed study in Germany. The interim results use both the "swab test" which reveals those presently infected plus the "serological blood test" which reveals those that had been infected but were mostly asymptomatic. Not surprising, those that were no longer testing positive were 7 times more prevalent than those confirmed to be currently infected. So, the "0.37%" figure uses the combined number and does not represent the % lethality of those infected. Another misquote by the OP was that Germany has a 0.3% lethality figure. They currently have a bit less than 2% lethality. It is expected that when the serologic testing is complete world-wide, the infection rate for this virus will be very impressive, and the lethality measured using both IGG and PCR tests will go lower. Don't interpret that to mean the virus is less lethal, it means many more of us caught it than suffered with it. |
#44
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What have we learned from all this?
How dare you try to take away my fear/sarcasm
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#45
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What have we learned from all this?
On Thursday, April 9, 2020 at 3:20:08 PM UTC-5, Dan Marotta wrote:
Oops, the German study said "0,37 percent", in US speak, that's 0.37% or 0.0037. Dan, 5J Dan; You're smarter than you think. 0.37 percent is indeed 0.37%, .0037 is the multiple. However, most readers have misinterpreted the half-completed study in Germany. The interim results use both the "swab test" which reveals those presently infected plus the "serological blood test" which reveals those that had been infected but were mostly asymptomatic. Not surprising, those that were no longer testing positive were 7 times more prevalent than those confirmed to be currently infected. So, the "0.37%" figure uses the combined number and does not represent the % lethality of those infected. Another misquote by the OP was that Germany has a 0.3% lethality figure. They currently have a around a 2% lethality. It is expected that when the serologic testing is complete world-wide, the infection rate for this virus will be quite impressive, and the "lethality" measured using both IGG and PCR tests will go lower. Don't interpret that to mean the virus is less lethal, it means many more of us caught it than suffered with it. |
#46
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What have we learned from all this?
On Thursday, April 9, 2020 at 5:21:35 PM UTC-4, Duster wrote:
On Thursday, April 9, 2020 at 3:20:08 PM UTC-5, Dan Marotta wrote: Oops, the German study said "0,37 percent", in US speak, that's 0.37% or 0.0037. Dan, 5J Dan; You're smarter than you think. 0.37 percent is indeed 0.37%, .0037 is the multiple. However, most readers have misinterpreted the half-completed study in Germany. The interim results use both the "swab test" which reveals those presently infected plus the "serological blood test" which reveals those that had been infected but were mostly asymptomatic. Not surprising, those that were no longer testing positive were 7 times more prevalent than those confirmed to be currently infected. So, the "0.37%" figure uses the combined number and does not represent the % lethality of those infected. Another misquote by the OP was that Germany has a 0.3% lethality figure. They currently have a around a 2% lethality. It is expected that when the serologic testing is complete world-wide, the infection rate for this virus will be quite impressive, and the "lethality" measured using both IGG and PCR tests will go lower. Don't interpret that to mean the virus is less lethal, it means many more of us caught it than suffered with it. Most of you people are missing the boat. When someone dies that test positive of COVD19 it is declared as a virus death. It may well be because of another related problem. Not saying that this is not serious, but underlying circumstance play an important role. Bob |
#47
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What have we learned from all this?
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#48
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What have we learned from all this?
Yeah, I figured it was something like that.
My take is that none of these "rates" are relevant until the dust settles.Â* How can anyone quote a death rate when the rate of infection information is at best a couple of weeks behind and at worst totally unknown? But it's giving a lot of reporters and politicians to talk about... On 4/9/2020 3:10 PM, Duster wrote: On Thursday, April 9, 2020 at 3:20:08 PM UTC-5, Dan Marotta wrote: Oops, the German study said "0,37 percent",Â* in US speak, that's 0.37% or 0.0037. Dan, 5J Dan; You're smarter than you think. 0.3 percent is indeed 0.37%, .0037 is the multiple. However, most readers have misinterpreted the half-completed study in Germany. The interim results use both the "swab test" which reveals those presently infected plus the "serological blood test" which reveals those that had been infected but were mostly asymptomatic. Not surprising, those that were no longer testing positive were 7 times more prevalent than those confirmed to be currently infected. So, the "0.37%" figure uses the combined number and does not represent the % lethality of those infected. Another misquote by the OP was that Germany has a 0.3% lethality figure. They currently have a bit less than 2% lethality. It is expected that when the serologic testing is complete world-wide, the infection rate for this virus will be very impressive, and the lethality measured using both IGG and PCR tests will go lower. Don't interpret that to mean the virus is less lethal, it means many more of us caught it than suffered with it. -- Dan, 5J |
#49
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What have we learned from all this?
SOMETHING to talk about...
On 4/9/2020 5:22 PM, Dan Marotta wrote: But it's giving a lot of reporters and politicians to talk about... -- Dan, 5J |
#50
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What have we learned from all this?
On Thursday, April 9, 2020 at 7:24:11 PM UTC-4, Dan Marotta wrote:
SOMETHING to talk about... On 4/9/2020 5:22 PM, Dan Marotta wrote: But it's giving a lot of reporters and politicians to talk about... -- Dan, 5J Dan, the reporters and politicians can really put the spin on things. I tried watching the news yesterday after applying 3000 pounds of fertilizer to the strip here at the house and tending to the mango orchard. I needed a break, grabbed a cold beer and did something that caused me considerable discomfort, I watched 20 minutes of the following, CNN, MSNBC,and Fox News. I have come to the conclusion that we live in three different worlds. |
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