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#31
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"Pooh Bear" wrote I confess to being kinda amazed that the threat of use of certain weapons in essence caused the CCCP to dismantle itself. It almost beggars belief that someone was smart enough to think it through in advance - but was that the case ? Was it simply pure luck ? Graham There was a book written around 1960 by a Harvard Uni Professor (I forget the name of the book or author sorry) that predicted that Communism couldn't work. He also said that because of increasing defense costs and because the USSR spent huge portions of their available budget on the military, not to mention the Soviets mentality that the best way to overthrow them was to build up your military and wait. I dont know if Reagan or his team ever heard of this book but the idea had been around for years. The cost of Technology and not being burdened by Vietnam meant that the time had finally come in the '80s I'm really ****ed off with myself that I cant remember the books title Rob |
#32
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rob wrote:
"Pooh Bear" wrote I confess to being kinda amazed that the threat of use of certain weapons in essence caused the CCCP to dismantle itself. It almost beggars belief that someone was smart enough to think it through in advance.... There was a book written around 1960 by a Harvard...Professor... that predicted that Communism couldn't work. He also said that because of increasing defense costs and because the USSR spent huge portions of their available budget on the military, not to mention the Soviets mentality that the best way to overthrow them was to build up your military and wait. More remarkable is that it took a Harvard professor until "around 1960" to figure out that Communism couldn't work. Many people understood earlier that the USSR would eventually fall, as long as we stood fast and met it on all fronts, including in places like Viet Nam (as badly botched as that particular effort was tactically). Islamist terrorism will also be snuffed out eventually, albeit with a different set of tools. The Chinese are a bigger problem over the long run. Jack |
#33
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In article ,
BUFDRVR wrote: Urban Fredriksson wrote: They saw and intercepted him I'm not sure this is a documented fact. Maybe not. I've seen interviews where it was claimed Rust's landing in Red Square was not a surprise, but I've read other publications claiming that he was tracked, at best, intermittently across Eastern Europe, Ukraine and finally Russia. Ukraine isn't on the way to Moscow from Helsinki. The official Soviet line is he was first intercepted at the north coast of Estonia. Could be face saving, but I've no doubts they had full radar coverage along the coast even if they lost him later. I don't buy the story that the Border Guard Day had anything to do with him slipping past. -- Urban Fredriksson http://www.canit.se/%7Egriffon/ There is always a yet unknown alternative. |
#34
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Urban Fredriksson wrote:
Ukraine isn't on the way to Moscow from Helsinki. Well, I'll admit to ignorance on this one. I had thought (prior to reading your post) he had flown direct from Hamburg to Moscow, after some initial reasearch, I stand corrected. Thanks. BUFDRVR "Stay on the bomb run boys, I'm gonna get those bomb doors open if it harelips everyone on Bear Creek" |
#35
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robert arndt wrote:
Pooh Bear wrote in message ... hobo wrote: The only reason any B-2s were built at all is because the way the contracts were structured it would have cost just as much to build 21 as to build zero. Defence contractors need an assurance that they'll get loadsa money for their efforts. For the government, they need to see some hardware in return. Graham Ought to be interesting to see if any of the projected "B-3" concepts actually get built: http://www.globalsecurity.org/milita...personic-2.jpg As far as black projects go I've heard that each TR-3B ASTRA costs 3 billion!! So, the thought of building yet another manned bomber that doesn't leave the atmosphere would seem ridiculous and obsolete. Aerospace defense platforms are the future, leave the atmosphere to the UCAVs... The concept of building another super hi-tech bomber in the absence of a credible threat that couldn't be defeated by existing hardware is insane. Graham |
#36
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Jack wrote:
rob wrote: "Pooh Bear" wrote I confess to being kinda amazed that the threat of use of certain weapons in essence caused the CCCP to dismantle itself. It almost beggars belief that someone was smart enough to think it through in advance.... There was a book written around 1960 by a Harvard...Professor... that predicted that Communism couldn't work. He also said that because of increasing defense costs and because the USSR spent huge portions of their available budget on the military, not to mention the Soviets mentality that the best way to overthrow them was to build up your military and wait. More remarkable is that it took a Harvard professor until "around 1960" to figure out that Communism couldn't work. But in WW2 it was Communism and the mass manufacturing under state control it constructed that enabled the Russians to ultimately defeat the Germans. Tankograd for example. Many people understood earlier that the USSR would eventually fall, as long as we stood fast and met it on all fronts, including in places like Viet Nam (as badly botched as that particular effort was tactically). Viet Nam was a classic case of poking your nose in where it wasn't either wanted or appropriate. Shoring up a corrupt regime was plain stupid. I doubt it had any effect other than negative. Islamist terrorism will also be snuffed out eventually, albeit with a different set of tools. You gonna convert them to Christianity ? I assume that by 'eventually' you mean maybe 100-1000 yrs ? You won't 'defeat' Islamic 'terrorism' until you get to understand Islam and how the Arab mind thinks. At which point you'll realise the errors of your ways to date. Don't forget - one man's 'terrorist' is another's 'freedom fighter' ! In WW2 the French resistance were heroic from the standpoint of the Allies but terrorists to the Germans. It's merely a point of view. The victor's opinion pervails. The Chinese are a bigger problem over the long run. The Chinese are now capitalists. The only problem that China presents is that they may be better capitalists than you are ! Are you sure your job is secure ? Graham |
#37
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Pooh Bear wrote:
The concept of building another super hi-tech bomber in the absence of a credible threat that couldn't be defeated by existing hardware is insane. It's called technological progress and it's not insane. If you have a credible threat but don't have a new weapon in development - that's insane. -- Regards, Venik Visit my site: http://www.aeronautics.ru If you need to e-mail me, please use the following subject line: ?Subject=Newsgr0ups_resp0 nse |
#38
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"rob" wrote in message ... "Pooh Bear" wrote I confess to being kinda amazed that the threat of use of certain weapons in essence caused the CCCP to dismantle itself. It almost beggars belief that someone was smart enough to think it through in advance - but was that the case ? Was it simply pure luck ? Graham There was a book written around 1960 by a Harvard Uni Professor (I forget the name of the book or author sorry) that predicted that Communism couldn't work. He also said that because of increasing defense costs and because the USSR spent huge portions of their available budget on the military, not to mention the Soviets mentality that the best way to overthrow them was to build up your military and wait. I dont know if Reagan or his team ever heard of this book but the idea had been around for years. The cost of Technology and not being burdened by Vietnam meant that the time had finally come in the '80s The idea hadn't "been around for years". Some people (mostly on the right) had said that the "inherent contradictions" of the Soviet system would lead to it's collapse but 1. no "reputable" policy maker during the '60s, '70s or early '80s advocated policy based on the impending collapse of the Sovs and 2. no intel shop anywhere in the US _predicted_ worsening Soviet economic conditions. To the contrary, the foreign policy "establishment" both Democratic and Republican assumed that the Sovs would be a permanent fixture. That was the origins of Kissengerian "Detente" and Carterian lectures about "inordinate fears" of Communism. Reagan had faith in the "inherent contradictions" and several private citizens (including fairly famously, Robert Heinlein) looked at the Sovs and saw through the Evil Empire's New Clothes but the policy establishment did not. The decline and collapse of the Soviet Union was the biggest intelligence failure in the last fifty years and the soft landing that resulted from that collapse, the largest miracle. |
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