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#1
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Stop whining, America!
Everywhere, every day on the radio, television, and in the newspapers, all I
hear is how the "Record Price of Oil" is killing America. Yet, strangely, Americans keep driving *more*. And I don't see anyone flying less. How can this be? Here are some encouraging stats from the current issue of Newsweek: - Oil, at $66 per barrel, has set a "nominal" record for high price. However, in real, adjusted-for-inflation dollars, oil would have to top $86.72 per barrel to beat the price record set in 1981. - For a gallon of gas to set a record, it would have to cost $3.12 per gallon, which was set back in 1981. - Or, for that matter, it would have to cost $2.67 per gallon, which is what it cost way back in 1935. - Since the first "Energy Crisis" in the 1970s, our economy has become MUCH more energy efficient. Total energy consumption per dollar of GDP has been cut almost in half since 1973. - Since 1980, the percentage of consumer spending that goes for energy has *declined* from 9 to 6 percent, despite "record" prices. - At the current rate of growth, our economy will DOUBLE in size in 18 years. (This is why, BTW, that even after President Bush's tax cuts, federal revenues are still 17.5& of GDP -- just one percentage point below the post-World War II norm.) - Over the last 40 years, increases in productivity have averaged 2.1% per year. Since 2001, it's averaged 3.9%. - Even though rising productivity means that the economy can grow without adding jobs, we have added over 4 million new jobs since July 2003. So why is everything doom and gloom in the media? Why are none of these facts brought to the fore? Is it a not-so-hidden agenda? An ax to grind? Or is it that Americans are just not happy unless they've got something to bitch about? Personally, having been in the business, I think it's just this simple: Bad news sells newspapers; good news sucks. Get out and fly, people! Life is good! :-) -- Jay Honeck Iowa City, IA Pathfinder N56993 www.AlexisParkInn.com "Your Aviation Destination" |
#2
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I asked the owner of one of the gas docks I go to about this summer's
business. It's off 50%. Many boats make airplanes look like gas misers so maybe that has something to do with it. I know from talking to many of the folks at my marina that they are definitely using their boats less due to fuel prices. Dave 68 7ECA Jay Honeck wrote: Everywhere, every day on the radio, television, and in the newspapers, all I hear is how the "Record Price of Oil" is killing America. Yet, strangely, Americans keep driving *more*. And I don't see anyone flying less. How can this be? Here are some encouraging stats from the current issue of Newsweek: - Oil, at $66 per barrel, has set a "nominal" record for high price. However, in real, adjusted-for-inflation dollars, oil would have to top $86.72 per barrel to beat the price record set in 1981. - For a gallon of gas to set a record, it would have to cost $3.12 per gallon, which was set back in 1981. - Or, for that matter, it would have to cost $2.67 per gallon, which is what it cost way back in 1935. - Since the first "Energy Crisis" in the 1970s, our economy has become MUCH more energy efficient. Total energy consumption per dollar of GDP has been cut almost in half since 1973. - Since 1980, the percentage of consumer spending that goes for energy has *declined* from 9 to 6 percent, despite "record" prices. - At the current rate of growth, our economy will DOUBLE in size in 18 years. (This is why, BTW, that even after President Bush's tax cuts, federal revenues are still 17.5& of GDP -- just one percentage point below the post-World War II norm.) - Over the last 40 years, increases in productivity have averaged 2.1% per year. Since 2001, it's averaged 3.9%. - Even though rising productivity means that the economy can grow without adding jobs, we have added over 4 million new jobs since July 2003. So why is everything doom and gloom in the media? Why are none of these facts brought to the fore? Is it a not-so-hidden agenda? An ax to grind? Or is it that Americans are just not happy unless they've got something to bitch about? Personally, having been in the business, I think it's just this simple: Bad news sells newspapers; good news sucks. Get out and fly, people! Life is good! :-) |
#3
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I asked the owner of one of the gas docks I go to about this summer's
business. It's off 50%. Many boats make airplanes look like gas misers so maybe that has something to do with it. I know from talking to many of the folks at my marina that they are definitely using their boats less due to fuel prices. Well, feeding two 350 cubic inch Chevy engines (as our friends do with their yacht on Lake Michigan), to go no where at 20 mph, might make any of us choose to party at the dock instead -- high prices or no. -- Jay Honeck Iowa City, IA Pathfinder N56993 www.AlexisParkInn.com "Your Aviation Destination" |
#4
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Well, feeding two 350 cubic inch Chevy engines (as our friends do with their
yacht on Lake Michigan), to go no where at 20 mph, might make any of us choose to party at the dock instead -- high prices or no. Tell me again... how much do you pay for a hamburger? Jose -- Quantum Mechanics is like this: God =does= play dice with the universe, except there's no God, and there's no dice. And maybe there's no universe. for Email, make the obvious change in the address. |
#5
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Well, feeding two 350 cubic inch Chevy engines (as our friends do with
their yacht on Lake Michigan), to go no where at 20 mph, might make any of us choose to party at the dock instead -- high prices or no. Tell me again... how much do you pay for a hamburger? Point taken, but my hamburger is likely to be served in a different *state*, possibly with relatives I might not see otherwise. A boat -- especially an ocean-going yacht -- almost never leaves dock. But when it does, you go very slowly, usually in seas that make our "turbulence" seem pretty tame, don't get very far, and you had better have a high credit limit on your Visa card, cuz re-filling those tanks ain't pretty. -- Jay Honeck Iowa City, IA Pathfinder N56993 www.AlexisParkInn.com "Your Aviation Destination" |
#6
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Point taken, but my hamburger is likely to be served in a different *state*,
possibly with relatives I might not see otherwise. A boat -- especially an ocean-going yacht -- almost never leaves dock. But when it does, you go very slowly, usually in seas that make our "turbulence" seem pretty tame, don't get very far, and you had better have a high credit limit on your Visa card, cuz re-filling those tanks ain't pretty. Well, I don't think the point was fully taken. I don't know about you folks in Iowa, but for me going to a different state isn't all that exciting, especially for a hamburger or a stack of pancakes. And I bet those boat people are saying to each other "sure, but you get into one of them flying things and you end up going so fast you can't see much, and before you blink your eyes, you're there." And if I wanted to entertain 12 people with my (club's) cherokee, I'd have to have a high credit rating too, and I wouldn't get very far either. It would be four trips, most of the time they couldn't talk to each other, most of them couldn't talk to me most of the time, and (if we actually went anywhere) we'd have to do it again afterwards. Or I could entertain them with my aerobatics. I'd entertain you folks too, in the Darwin writeup. We won't even talk about if we wanted to to go a place that is served by Signature. I don't have enough credit cards to cover that! When the only tool you have is a hammer, =everything= looks like a nail. Jose -- Quantum Mechanics is like this: God =does= play dice with the universe, except there's no God, and there's no dice. And maybe there's no universe. for Email, make the obvious change in the address. |
#7
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Jay Honeck wrote: A boat -- especially an ocean-going yacht -- almost never leaves dock. But when it does, you go very slowly, usually in seas that make our "turbulence" seem pretty tame, don't get very far, and you had better have a high credit limit on your Visa card, cuz re-filling those tanks ain't pretty. You know an awful lot about boats for a guy who lives in a place where the biggest body of water most people ever see has a four legs and a drain at the bottom What you're referring to is a motor yacht designed for bombing around near coastal waters. Aside from the sportfishers that may go offshore, these boats stay within sight of shore and have their range severely limited by fuel needs. "Turbulence" out there is no worse than we get in the air and often less, especially in the summer. Most of these boats have no business in serious weather. If you want to see a true oceangoing yacht, look at something like the Nordhavn 62'. These "expedition yachts" are becoming much more popular and look more like commercial ships than speedboats. The N62 is designed to run at 9 knots on a single 225HP diesel engine turning a 40" propeller at very low RPM. A typical 40' coastal stinkpotter will run 2x450hp engines turning surface-penetrating props that look like they came out of a blender. The Nordhavn doesn't go fast but with 2500 gallon tanks it can cross an ocean without stopping, and those big slow diesels are built to run for weeks on end. 2MPG may sound awful but keep in mind the boat weighs 80 tons (!). And it's bigger inside than most condos: http://www.nordhavn.com/62/interiorThumbs.php4 The key is speed. A boat runs most efficiently at "hull speed" which is a function of length. If you want to push the hull faster than that, fuel consumption goes up ridiculously, even worse than with airplanes. -cwk. |
#8
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wrote in message ups.com... Jay Honeck wrote: A boat -- especially an ocean-going yacht -- almost never leaves dock. But when it does, you go very slowly, usually in seas that make our "turbulence" seem pretty tame, don't get very far, and you had better have a high credit limit on your Visa card, cuz re-filling those tanks ain't pretty. You know an awful lot about boats for a guy who lives in a place where the biggest body of water most people ever see has a four legs and a drain at the bottom Jay loved in Wisconsin. Lake Michigan and all you know. What you're referring to is a motor yacht designed for bombing around near coastal waters. Aside from the sportfishers that may go offshore, these boats stay within sight of shore and have their range severely limited by fuel needs. "Turbulence" out there is no worse than we get in the air and often less, especially in the summer. Most of these boats have no business in serious weather. Spend some time on the Great Lakes. They often make the ocean look like childs play. Ted Turner got humbled and you would too. The key is speed. A boat runs most efficiently at "hull speed" which is a function of length. If you want to push the hull faster than that, fuel consumption goes up ridiculously, even worse than with airplanes. Only true when talking about displacement hulls. Has nothing to do with planing hulls which include the vast majority of power boats. Planing hulls burn a tremendous amount of fuel untill they reach planing speed. -cwk. |
#9
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I have burned 7.5 hours of flying fuel in the past week and I'm going
to burn another 3 hours later today... OPEC loves me... denny |
#10
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wrote What you're referring to is a motor yacht designed for bombing around near coastal waters. Aside from the sportfishers that may go offshore, these boats stay within sight of shore and have their range severely limited by fuel needs. "Turbulence" out there is no worse than we get in the air and often less, especially in the summer. Most of these boats have no business in serious weather. You must not know much about the Great Lakes, that he is talking about. People there go out of sight of land all of the time, and roughness is another matter, also. You know that wave height is a function of depth, right? Lake Erie in the Western end averages less than 30 feet deep. 6 footers with a distance of around 30 feet crest to crest is typical, with winds only at 10 to 15 knots. Get the wind up to 25 knots and 12 footers are not unusual, with the same period. That's some steep waves! Lake Michigan is deeper, but it still doesn't compare to the oceans, so waves are still pretty steep. People go to cities and places that are far enough apart that they take some time, and burn some serious fuel, because they try to go much faster than hull speed. Like you said, that burns a lot of fuel, thus the big fill-ups. They cut off the curves in the coast, and go off shore pretty far. Still, it is rough. Not offshore, ocean-wise, but rough enough that it kills, most every year. -- Jim in NC; formerly the shore of Lake Erie |
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