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#191
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"Matt Whiting" wrote in message news:vVf1f.
Yet the stats show motorcycles to be much more dangerous than cars. Or do accidents mostly happen to non-alert operators? And you were about to say about the survivability of collisions above 40 MPH? Yes, most accidents happen to folks that aren't paying attention and maintaining situational awareness. Just as in flying. You were about to say about the survivability of collisions over 40 MPH? Nothing, right? Comment: When I started flying, I noticed the amount of training that went into safety issues of all kinds far exceeded anything I saw in performance driving. All this because you can't pull over. Almost. I know that most training considers a career as a commercial pilot. But the number of safeguards we learn should make us invincible. And, yet, we're taught and reminded that, without rote procedures, things can quickly get out of hand. The skill of being able to maintain grace under pressure and follow a checklist, maybe one of a dozen, that others have written for you to follow, is a proved lifesaver. Good, safe, piloting has little in common with race or performance driving. Or great pitching or goaltending. And a great deal depends on the equipment. Planes use technology that was old, I remember, in the sixties. But one tends to listen to the AME's opinion with a bit more respect than the race mechanic. So, you may think that your skill trumps bad luck and the safeguards available to counter it. But, you're likely dreaming. Anyway, many accidents involve people who have no hope of avoiding them. This happens all the time, no? I only have to avoid one crash to make up the difference. You are basing your argument on the underlying assumption that a crash is inevitable. I don't accept that premise. Many of them are. You're an idiot if you think you're immune. And, survivability, given enough time and miles, *is* the issue. The difference between the great driver who avoids every accident and the one who doesn't is, eventually, luck. Never said I was immune. A vehicle that is even 50% more crashworthy than another (if there is even a decent way to make such a comparison), still doesn't GUARANTEE survival. That is my point. Avoiding an accident guarantees survival. Getting in an accident, even in the biggest, baddest SUV, doesn't guarantee survival. Personally, I'd rather focus on avoiding the accident and having 100% survivability, than to accept a few accidents and hope that I survive the accident. You're dreaming. Almost everyone who races cars knows how cruel luck is. People crash, for whatever reason, including mechanical failure (a biggie with pilots). And they take others with them. Many, many accidents involve people who have no hope of avoiding them. You think you can? Almost nobody who races cars thinks so. If winning just meant surviving, F1 races would be done in Hummers. The fundamental point is that I believe it is a better deal to increase my odds of avoiding an accident and trading a little crashworthiness to do that (although, the SUV data doesn't even support that they are better overall than cars). You are saying you would rather have more accidents, but have them in a more crashworthy vehicle. Idiot. It is inevitable that I will die. It is not inevitable that I will be in an automobile crash. The only wreck I've had was a single vehicle accident in a VW Beetle where I lost control in heavy snow. I was 17 years old and haven't had an accident since then and that was nearly 30 years ago. That you can't see the error in your logic is, at once, disturbing and pedestrian. There is no error in my logic. I'm basically doing an expected value calculation mentally. Look it up. Asking you how you avoid a crash caused by someone who has caused havoc by their stupidity, or not, that presents you with a hopeless situation would require you to deal with that possible reality. GR, SR and Euclidean Geometry ary internally consistant and contain no errors. Keep your foot over the brake pedal entering every intersection. Also, you increase the chance of an accident due to roll-over. The last statistics I saw showed that SUVs were LESS safe then cars, so your argument simply doesn't hold in the real world. Cites, please? Consumer Reports. I don't recall which issue and am not going to dig through my 10 years of back issues on your behalf. Do you own research. Cites please. Just give me anything that show small cars being, generally, more crashworthy than large cars will do. No. I'm speaking about crashworthiness, period. Usually it's bigger. Not always. And, sometimes, like the experience related above, luck plays a big part. Yes, but competent alert drivers have much greater luck than the average driver. :-) Luck favours the prepared. You think your are, why? You have compared your driving skills to others how? Try to give us something other than your own self-revering speculation. You made the claim. Just cite your stats. You're comparing SUVs and small (compact & sub-compact) cars, right? I don't need to cite the stats. I know the data and am comfortable with that. If you want to see the data, go find it. I told you above where to look. Didn't think you could. Maybe you should rethink your beliefs. moo |
#192
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Happy Dog wrote:
"Matt Whiting" wrote in message news:vVf1f. Yet the stats show motorcycles to be much more dangerous than cars. Or do accidents mostly happen to non-alert operators? And you were about to say about the survivability of collisions above 40 MPH? Yes, most accidents happen to folks that aren't paying attention and maintaining situational awareness. Just as in flying. You were about to say about the survivability of collisions over 40 MPH? Nothing, right? The survivability rate goes down dramatically above 40 MPH no matter what kind of vehicle you are in. What's your point? Comment: When I started flying, I noticed the amount of training that went into safety issues of all kinds far exceeded anything I saw in performance driving. All this because you can't pull over. Almost. I know that most training considers a career as a commercial pilot. But the number of safeguards we learn should make us invincible. And, yet, we're taught and reminded that, without rote procedures, things can quickly get out of hand. The skill of being able to maintain grace under pressure and follow a checklist, maybe one of a dozen, that others have written for you to follow, is a proved lifesaver. Good, safe, piloting has little in common with race or performance driving. Or great pitching or goaltending. And a great deal depends on the equipment. Planes use technology that was old, I remember, in the sixties. But one tends to listen to the AME's opinion with a bit more respect than the race mechanic. So, you may think that your skill trumps bad luck and the safeguards available to counter it. But, you're likely dreaming. AME and race mechanic? What does a doctor and a mechanic have in common? Anyway, many accidents involve people who have no hope of avoiding them. This happens all the time, no? I don't think it happens all of the time at all. It happens some of the time, but I believe that more than half of the time accidents were clearly avoidable. I only have to avoid one crash to make up the difference. You are basing your argument on the underlying assumption that a crash is inevitable. I don't accept that premise. Many of them are. You're an idiot if you think you're immune. And, survivability, given enough time and miles, *is* the issue. The difference between the great driver who avoids every accident and the one who doesn't is, eventually, luck. Never said I was immune. A vehicle that is even 50% more crashworthy than another (if there is even a decent way to make such a comparison), still doesn't GUARANTEE survival. That is my point. Avoiding an accident guarantees survival. Getting in an accident, even in the biggest, baddest SUV, doesn't guarantee survival. Personally, I'd rather focus on avoiding the accident and having 100% survivability, than to accept a few accidents and hope that I survive the accident. You're dreaming. Almost everyone who races cars knows how cruel luck is. People crash, for whatever reason, including mechanical failure (a biggie with pilots). And they take others with them. Many, many accidents involve people who have no hope of avoiding them. You think you can? Almost nobody who races cars thinks so. If winning just meant surviving, F1 races would be done in Hummers. Racing and street driving have almost nothing in common. Racing is all about pushing the limits. And if you are pushing the limit, it takes very little to put you over the edge. I'm a pilot and mechanical failure isn't a big concern at all with most pilots. Less than 15% of all accidents in airplanes involve a mechanical failure. 85% are pilot error. The stats for car accidents aren't nearly as good as for aviation as aviation accidents are all professionally investigated, however, I'll be that the stats for cars are even more skewed towards driver. The fundamental point is that I believe it is a better deal to increase my odds of avoiding an accident and trading a little crashworthiness to do that (although, the SUV data doesn't even support that they are better overall than cars). You are saying you would rather have more accidents, but have them in a more crashworthy vehicle. Idiot. I didn't think you would admit it in public, but I applaud your level of self-awareness. It is inevitable that I will die. It is not inevitable that I will be in an automobile crash. The only wreck I've had was a single vehicle accident in a VW Beetle where I lost control in heavy snow. I was 17 years old and haven't had an accident since then and that was nearly 30 years ago. That you can't see the error in your logic is, at once, disturbing and pedestrian. There is no error in my logic. I'm basically doing an expected value calculation mentally. Look it up. Asking you how you avoid a crash caused by someone who has caused havoc by their stupidity, or not, that presents you with a hopeless situation would require you to deal with that possible reality. GR, SR and Euclidean Geometry ary internally consistant and contain no errors. Keep your foot over the brake pedal entering every intersection. Actually, I usually do plan to hit the brakes at every intersection. I don't keep my foot over the brake, but I'm always ready to hit it. When riding a motorcycle, I DO "cover" the brakes at every intersection. A half second reduction in reaction time can mean the difference between a close call (I've had a few) and an accident (I've had none). Also, you increase the chance of an accident due to roll-over. The last statistics I saw showed that SUVs were LESS safe then cars, so your argument simply doesn't hold in the real world. Cites, please? Consumer Reports. I don't recall which issue and am not going to dig through my 10 years of back issues on your behalf. Do you own research. Cites please. Just give me anything that show small cars being, generally, more crashworthy than large cars will do. No. I'm speaking about crashworthiness, period. Usually it's bigger. Not always. And, sometimes, like the experience related above, luck plays a big part. Yes, but competent alert drivers have much greater luck than the average driver. :-) Luck favours the prepared. You think your are, why? You have compared your driving skills to others how? Try to give us something other than your own self-revering speculation. I have 29 years of accident-free driving. My only accident was when I was 17 in a blizzard. I don't have any stats on driver statistics, but my insurance agent has assured me that he has very few customers with a 29 year accident free record. What is your record? I'm guessing you've had a series of accidents given your reliance on crashworthiness rather than crash avoidance. You made the claim. Just cite your stats. You're comparing SUVs and small (compact & sub-compact) cars, right? I don't need to cite the stats. I know the data and am comfortable with that. If you want to see the data, go find it. I told you above where to look. Didn't think you could. Maybe you should rethink your beliefs. Rethink my beliefs because you are too lazy to do some research? I think not. Matt |
#193
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"Matt Whiting" wrote in message
You were about to say about the survivability of collisions over 40 MPH? Nothing, right? The survivability rate goes down dramatically above 40 MPH no matter what kind of vehicle you are in. What's your point? You said that collisions above 40MPH were, basically unsurvivable. That's incorrect. Comment: When I started flying, I noticed the amount of training that went into safety issues of all kinds far exceeded anything I saw in performance driving. All this because you can't pull over. Almost. I know that most training considers a career as a commercial pilot. But the number of safeguards we learn should make us invincible. And, yet, we're taught and reminded that, without rote procedures, things can quickly get out of hand. The skill of being able to maintain grace under pressure and follow a checklist, maybe one of a dozen, that others have written for you to follow, is a proved lifesaver. Good, safe, piloting has little in common with race or performance driving. Or great pitching or goaltending. And a great deal depends on the equipment. Planes use technology that was old, I remember, in the sixties. But one tends to listen to the AME's opinion with a bit more respect than the race mechanic. So, you may think that your skill trumps bad luck and the safeguards available to counter it. But, you're likely dreaming. AME and race mechanic? What does a doctor and a mechanic have in common? Canadian thing. "Authorized Maintenance Engineer" Anyway, many accidents involve people who have no hope of avoiding them. This happens all the time, no? I don't think it happens all of the time at all. It happens some of the time, but I believe that more than half of the time accidents were clearly avoidable. By "all the time", I meant "many, every day" But, go with less than 50% unavoidable. (Where did that come from?) Admitting that makes your previous stance look a bit odd. Never said I was immune. A vehicle that is even 50% more crashworthy than another (if there is even a decent way to make such a comparison), still doesn't GUARANTEE survival. That is my point. Avoiding an accident guarantees survival. Getting in an accident, even in the biggest, baddest SUV, doesn't guarantee survival. Personally, I'd rather focus on avoiding the accident and having 100% survivability, than to accept a few accidents and hope that I survive the accident. You're dreaming. Almost everyone who races cars knows how cruel luck is. People crash, for whatever reason, including mechanical failure (a biggie with pilots). And they take others with them. Many, many accidents involve people who have no hope of avoiding them. You think you can? Almost nobody who races cars thinks so. If winning just meant surviving, F1 races would be done in Hummers. Racing and street driving have almost nothing in common. Racing is all about pushing the limits. And if you are pushing the limit, it takes very little to put you over the edge. Correct. But accident avoidance skills are honed by this type of driving. And, silly things happen all the time at nowhere near race speeds. I'm a pilot and mechanical failure isn't a big concern at all with most pilots. Less than 15% of all accidents in airplanes involve a mechanical failure. A great deal of training goes into procedures to handle mechanical failures. It's, obviously,, a big concern to somebody. And then there's the BRS. You are saying you would rather have more accidents, but have them in a more crashworthy vehicle. Idiot. I didn't think you would admit it in public, but I applaud your level of self-awareness. It's usenet, darling. You misrepresented my position by claiming I take an idiotic position. I'm just returning the favour using more concise language. There is no error in my logic. I'm basically doing an expected value calculation mentally. Look it up. Asking you how you avoid a crash caused by someone who has caused havoc by their stupidity, or not, that presents you with a hopeless situation would require you to deal with that possible reality. GR, SR and Euclidean Geometry ary internally consistant and contain no errors. Keep your foot over the brake pedal entering every intersection. Actually, I usually do plan to hit the brakes at every intersection. I don't keep my foot over the brake, but I'm always ready to hit it. When riding a motorcycle, I DO "cover" the brakes at every intersection. A half second reduction in reaction time can mean the difference between a close call (I've had a few) and an accident (I've had none). And as your reaction time slows with age, what then? You don't seem to get the luck factor here. And, why isn't covering the brake pedal, or using your left foot, as important in a car WRT accident avoidance? You drive a bike. Wouldn't you rather that all car drivers took this safety measure? Luck favours the prepared. You think your are, why? You have compared your driving skills to others how? Try to give us something other than your own self-revering speculation. I have 29 years of accident-free driving. My only accident was when I was 17 in a blizzard. I don't have any stats on driver statistics, but my insurance agent has assured me that he has very few customers with a 29 year accident free record. What is your record? I'm guessing you've had a series of accidents given your reliance on crashworthiness rather than crash avoidance. Apart from track stuff, only two of any consequence. Both times, somebody made an unannounced turn from the wrong lane. My experience is about average. And my skills are at least that. There are lucky people who are apparently unsinkable. But you are disregarding empirical reality and believeing too much in your own prowess. I don't need to cite the stats. I know the data and am comfortable with that. If you want to see the data, go find it. I told you above where to look. Didn't think you could. Maybe you should rethink your beliefs. Rethink my beliefs because you are too lazy to do some research? I think not. I was thinking that you should rethink your beliefs because they're wrong. http://www.central-insurance.com/doc...cid.htm#Bigger moo |
#194
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Happy Dog wrote:
"Matt Whiting" wrote in message You were about to say about the survivability of collisions over 40 MPH? Nothing, right? The survivability rate goes down dramatically above 40 MPH no matter what kind of vehicle you are in. What's your point? You said that collisions above 40MPH were, basically unsurvivable. That's incorrect. Hit anything hard above 40 MPH and you are in a world of hurt. Sure, if you hit a large marshmallow, then you'll be in good shape. Comment: When I started flying, I noticed the amount of training that went into safety issues of all kinds far exceeded anything I saw in performance driving. All this because you can't pull over. Almost. I know that most training considers a career as a commercial pilot. But the number of safeguards we learn should make us invincible. And, yet, we're taught and reminded that, without rote procedures, things can quickly get out of hand. The skill of being able to maintain grace under pressure and follow a checklist, maybe one of a dozen, that others have written for you to follow, is a proved lifesaver. Good, safe, piloting has little in common with race or performance driving. Or great pitching or goaltending. And a great deal depends on the equipment. Planes use technology that was old, I remember, in the sixties. But one tends to listen to the AME's opinion with a bit more respect than the race mechanic. So, you may think that your skill trumps bad luck and the safeguards available to counter it. But, you're likely dreaming. AME and race mechanic? What does a doctor and a mechanic have in common? Canadian thing. "Authorized Maintenance Engineer" OK, US is Aviation Medical Examiner. Anyway, many accidents involve people who have no hope of avoiding them. This happens all the time, no? I don't think it happens all of the time at all. It happens some of the time, but I believe that more than half of the time accidents were clearly avoidable. By "all the time", I meant "many, every day" But, go with less than 50% unavoidable. (Where did that come from?) Admitting that makes your previous stance look a bit odd. Never said I was immune. A vehicle that is even 50% more crashworthy than another (if there is even a decent way to make such a comparison), still doesn't GUARANTEE survival. That is my point. Avoiding an accident guarantees survival. Getting in an accident, even in the biggest, baddest SUV, doesn't guarantee survival. Personally, I'd rather focus on avoiding the accident and having 100% survivability, than to accept a few accidents and hope that I survive the accident. You're dreaming. Almost everyone who races cars knows how cruel luck is. People crash, for whatever reason, including mechanical failure (a biggie with pilots). And they take others with them. Many, many accidents involve people who have no hope of avoiding them. You think you can? Almost nobody who races cars thinks so. If winning just meant surviving, F1 races would be done in Hummers. Racing and street driving have almost nothing in common. Racing is all about pushing the limits. And if you are pushing the limit, it takes very little to put you over the edge. Correct. But accident avoidance skills are honed by this type of driving. And, silly things happen all the time at nowhere near race speeds. I've never raced (well not on a track anyway and I ain't talking about anything else!), but I trust it would hone one's skills. However, accident avoidance is about a whole lot more than raw driving skills. It is about attitude, anticipation, alertness, situation awareness, etc. I'm a pilot and mechanical failure isn't a big concern at all with most pilots. Less than 15% of all accidents in airplanes involve a mechanical failure. A great deal of training goes into procedures to handle mechanical failures. It's, obviously,, a big concern to somebody. And then there's the BRS. Yes, but a lot more training goes into learning how to fly, flight plan and exercise judgement to avoid pilot errors. I don't think more than 10% of my flight training has been invested in procedures to handle mechanical failures. You are saying you would rather have more accidents, but have them in a more crashworthy vehicle. Idiot. I didn't think you would admit it in public, but I applaud your level of self-awareness. It's usenet, darling. You misrepresented my position by claiming I take an idiotic position. I'm just returning the favour using more concise language. No, I represented exactly what you are saying. You've said several times that you would rather have a vehicle that is less likely to avoid a crash, but more likely to allow occupant survivability in a crash. The result is exactly what I wrote above. There is no error in my logic. I'm basically doing an expected value calculation mentally. Look it up. Asking you how you avoid a crash caused by someone who has caused havoc by their stupidity, or not, that presents you with a hopeless situation would require you to deal with that possible reality. GR, SR and Euclidean Geometry ary internally consistant and contain no errors. Keep your foot over the brake pedal entering every intersection. Actually, I usually do plan to hit the brakes at every intersection. I don't keep my foot over the brake, but I'm always ready to hit it. When riding a motorcycle, I DO "cover" the brakes at every intersection. A half second reduction in reaction time can mean the difference between a close call (I've had a few) and an accident (I've had none). And as your reaction time slows with age, what then? You don't seem to get the luck factor here. And, why isn't covering the brake pedal, or using your left foot, as important in a car WRT accident avoidance? You drive a bike. Wouldn't you rather that all car drivers took this safety measure? The luck factor is always there. I've never said it wasn't. The reason is most drivers can't keep their feet from getting confused if they brake with their left foot, which is why in the US most states teach against that. I personally brake with my left foot when driving my AT equipped vehicles and find it works great, but most driving schools teach against it. Luck favours the prepared. You think your are, why? You have compared your driving skills to others how? Try to give us something other than your own self-revering speculation. I have 29 years of accident-free driving. My only accident was when I was 17 in a blizzard. I don't have any stats on driver statistics, but my insurance agent has assured me that he has very few customers with a 29 year accident free record. What is your record? I'm guessing you've had a series of accidents given your reliance on crashworthiness rather than crash avoidance. Apart from track stuff, only two of any consequence. Both times, somebody made an unannounced turn from the wrong lane. My experience is about average. And my skills are at least that. There are lucky people who are apparently unsinkable. But you are disregarding empirical reality and believeing too much in your own prowess. Two accidents in how many years of driving? I'm not disregarding reality at all. I'm just focusing on what I can control. I can control my driving and the selection of vehicle I drive. I can't control fate or luck or whatever you wish to call it, so I don't fret it. Matt |
#195
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On 2005-10-07, Happy Dog wrote:
In this country, at least, the Mini had quite a good safety record despite its lack of crashworthiness. Since a Mini was my student car, I know why - you feel very vulnerable in a Mini. So you drive bloody carefully and try and avoid the situations in the first place that may result in a crash. Oh please. Kids will drive like maniacs in anything. Anything. Teenage boys are unstoppable when it comes to reckless behaviour and there are sound biological reasons for this. No, I related my own teenage experience. I was *not* reckless in my Mini because I felt vulnerable in it doing stupid things, so I didn't do stupid things. Other teenagers I knew who owned Minis generally also drove MUCH more carefully than their peers - because they also felt vulnerable. Of course, careful is relative; my definition of careful at the time is probably reckless to an old fart like yourself g But it was (relatively speaking) a lot more careful than my friends. I never roofed my car. None of my Mini-owning friends roofed their cars. However, friends with larger cars often roofed theirs, and some to an extent that a couple of them were uninsurable even in a Fiat 126 (which can't pull the skin of rice pudding) -- Dylan Smith, Port St Mary, Isle of Man Flying: http://www.dylansmith.net Oolite-Linux: an Elite tribute: http://oolite-linux.berlios.de Frontier Elite Universe: http://www.alioth.net |
#196
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"Dylan Smith" wrote in message
Oh please. Kids will drive like maniacs in anything. Anything. Teenage boys are unstoppable when it comes to reckless behaviour and there are sound biological reasons for this. No, I related my own teenage experience. I was *not* reckless in my Mini because I felt vulnerable in it doing stupid things, so I didn't do stupid things. Other teenagers I knew who owned Minis generally also drove MUCH more carefully than their peers - because they also felt vulnerable. No, what? You're an exception. If you think otherwise, a biology lesson is in order. Teenage boys. Think arrest stats, insurance rates, girls. Our evolved history explains it just fine. Works for just about every other sexual being as well. Some species of shore birds excepted. moo |
#197
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"Matt Whiting" wrote in message
Hit anything hard above 40 MPH and you are in a world of hurt. Sure, if you hit a large marshmallow, then you'll be in good shape. Took you six posts to get to this bit of backpeddling. *Most* collisions do not involve hitting an oak tree. Most collisions at 40 MPH are survivable. And that's contrary to what you originally asserted. If you really meant to say that most collisions that involve a 40 MPH side impact with a cement mixer are unsurvivable, then, OK. Racing and street driving have almost nothing in common. Racing is all about pushing the limits. And if you are pushing the limit, it takes very little to put you over the edge. Correct. But accident avoidance skills are honed by this type of driving. And, silly things happen all the time at nowhere near race speeds. I've never raced (well not on a track anyway and I ain't talking about anything else!), but I trust it would hone one's skills. However, accident avoidance is about a whole lot more than raw driving skills. It is about attitude, anticipation, alertness, situation awareness, etc. And you think this isn't a crucial part of racing? Qualifying laps are, mostly, pushing the limits. But a race involves more than just getting around an empty track as fast as you can. And many of those things translate directly into accident avoidance maneuvers. A great deal of training goes into procedures to handle mechanical failures. It's, obviously,, a big concern to somebody. And then there's the BRS. Yes, but a lot more training goes into learning how to fly, flight plan and exercise judgement to avoid pilot errors. I don't think more than 10% of my flight training has been invested in procedures to handle mechanical failures. Even that's pretty significant. And the forced approach has the highest failure rate of any flight test item. And as your reaction time slows with age, what then? You don't seem to get the luck factor here. And, why isn't covering the brake pedal, or using your left foot, as important in a car WRT accident avoidance? You drive a bike. Wouldn't you rather that all car drivers took this safety measure? The luck factor is always there. I've never said it wasn't. The reason is most drivers can't keep their feet from getting confused if they brake with their left foot, which is why in the US most states teach against that. I personally brake with my left foot when driving my AT equipped vehicles and find it works great, but most driving schools teach against it. They get confused for a bit if they've always used their right foot. But, covering the brake with either foot reduces the stopping distance in an emergency. There's also a bunch you can do with almost simultaneous use of both power and brakes. But, it's not really applicable to street driving. Apart from track stuff, only two of any consequence. Both times, somebody made an unannounced turn from the wrong lane. My experience is about average. And my skills are at least that. There are lucky people who are apparently unsinkable. But you are disregarding empirical reality and believeing too much in your own prowess. Two accidents in how many years of driving? More than two. A few very minor ones as well. And about 34 years. I'm not disregarding reality at all. I'm just focusing on what I can control. I can control my driving and the selection of vehicle I drive. I can't control fate or luck or whatever you wish to call it, so I don't fret it. Then you accept that you could make different choices that would raise your chance of survival. Bikes are more dangerous than cars. Just like flying in an airliner is safer than flying yourself. moo |
#198
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Happy Dog wrote:
"Matt Whiting" wrote in message Two accidents in how many years of driving? More than two. A few very minor ones as well. And about 34 years. I'm not disregarding reality at all. I'm just focusing on what I can control. I can control my driving and the selection of vehicle I drive. I can't control fate or luck or whatever you wish to call it, so I don't fret it. Then you accept that you could make different choices that would raise your chance of survival. Bikes are more dangerous than cars. Just like flying in an airliner is safer than flying yourself. Well, my accident record is much better than yours, so I think I'll stick with the choices I'm making vs. yours. :-) Matt |
#199
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"Matt Whiting" wrote in
Then you accept that you could make different choices that would raise your chance of survival. Bikes are more dangerous than cars. Just like flying in an airliner is safer than flying yourself. Well, my accident record is much better than yours, so I think I'll stick with the choices I'm making vs. yours. :-) Comment: Well, that illustrates my point pretty succinctly. I know you're not entirely serious. But, your argument could hold for people who smoke, or climb mountains, or base jump, or a number of other risky activities, who don't die. Yet. Or maybe ever (due to their chosen risky activity). But you were speaking in general terms and didn't acknowledge that the unwashed masses do not, as proved by statistics, share your skill or luck. We don't know why you have better than average stats and, I suspect, neither do you. But you're not lucky beyond belief. And, if you think that the activity and equipment choices you've made, which have been proved to relate a higher incidence of injury or death, are less risky for you than the choices shown to be less risky for everyone else, then you are narcissistic by nature. Because, though you may be right, you can't really make a sensible (testable) argument for it. Your predictive powers are unlikely to trump empirical reality but you refuse to acknowledge it in a meaningful way. It reminds me of Las Vegas. I've been a few times. I stay up late anyway so a trek through the casinos in the wee hours is obligatory. The first few times I was there I was fascinated, not by the old people pulling slots at 3 AM, but by the people betting on Roulette. There are displays that show the previous numbers chanced by the ball. People, determinedly writing the previous numbers on paper (I guess now punching them into their PDAs), "predict" the next numbers and place their bets. The Gambler's Fallacy is logic 101. And I don't doubt that the many of the people engaging it are at least as bright as me. But they're chasing a chimera. Because of their failure to grasp a simple part of reality, somebody took their money and built this shining jewel in the middle of the desert. A shrine to human irrationality that takes up space where Mormons would be raising sheep or something like that. Do they think that the laws of chance are suspended for a moment just for them? Some do; like kids in love. But most think they're playing poker. And so do you. moo |
#200
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ET wrote:
When have you seen a jet fighter with a high wing?? The Heinkel He 162: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heinkel_He_162 To the public at large, a low wing plane is just a sexier, faster "look" to it. Perhaps - but add a touch of sweep-back to the wings and a more graceful fuselage and a high-wing will look sexy enough. |
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Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
1/72 Cessna 300, 400 series scale models | Ale | Owning | 3 | October 22nd 13 03:40 PM |
Nearly had my life terminated today | Michelle P | Piloting | 11 | September 3rd 05 02:37 AM |
Wow - heard on the air... (long) | Nathan Young | Piloting | 68 | July 25th 05 06:51 PM |
Parachute fails to save SR-22 | Capt.Doug | Piloting | 72 | February 10th 05 05:14 AM |
USAF = US Amphetamine Fools | RT | Military Aviation | 104 | September 25th 03 03:17 PM |