If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below. |
|
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#61
|
|||
|
|||
"Joe Johnson" wrote in message ... I'll check out Maury's West Coast Adventures--thanks for the tip. Actually, it's Morey...Field Morey. His site is he http://www.ifrwest.com/ |
#62
|
|||
|
|||
Colin,
You are very 'on' with both points. There are quite a few (not a majority, but enough to drive up the statistics) for whom no amount of education will eradicate their emotionally-driven ignorance. And I fully agree with you that the real problem was that he took off in the first place. The conditions were iffy enough that his own flight instructor called him and said words to the effect "It looks pretty bad, let me go with you." And he is reported to have replied, "No, this is something Ive got to do by myself." That statement is all about proving that he is 'good enough,' which is, I believe, where he drove off into the psychological 'ditch.' I have been told that there were two CFI's holding down a couch in the lobby just a couple of hundred feet away when he was loading up. When his sister in law was 2hr late, and forced his planned daylight flight into a night departure, that was the point where he shoulda walked into that lobby and said "Which one of you guys wants to make $300?" (He was reportely collecting $5mil a year off of his trust. $300 would have been pocket change.) I have also read that he and his instructor had been having problems with the autopilot; it apparently was prone to occaisionally doing a roll-axis hard-over failure for no apparent reason. Given that, and his low time in type (30hr), and thus a probable lack of familiarity with that autopilot, it may be that he was reluctant to turn it on. Maybe he *did* turn it on, and it did its hard-over thing and made a marginal situation worse. I have, as of late, made it my business to study the human factors issues associated with these kinds of accidents, because I agree with you that it was the decision to go under these conditions that was the real problem. My research has led me into the psychology of narcissism, and I believe that is a major factor in this seemingly mysterious penchant some pilots have to go ahead and launch when prudence would dictate another less risky course of action. If you trace the history of the Kennedys and the behavior of the men (date rape, skiing into trees, trophy wives, affairs with actresses, need to prove, and angrily blaming others when something doesnt go right), and then bounce that off the DSMV-IV diagnostic criteria for narcissistic personality disorder, you wil find it is a near perfect match. Unfortunately for our industry, a large percentage of the people who have the money to fly are highly driven, type A, take-no-prisoners types--and these traits are often symptoms of the narcissistic personality. The downside includes a need to constantly prove oneself 'good enough,' trophy seeking, and the appearance of competence being valued much more than the actual competence itself. I wrote an article about this that was published in Plane and Pilot , called "The Wrong Stuff." It is available to view on my website at www.genehudson.com if you care to read more about this stuff. Become a therapist and open an office in LA? You are not the first person to have said that... others have offered that I already have done both... I don't want to advertise it too much, though, for fear that then *all* my time would be spend wrestling with these types! (It is, in fact, *very* hard work--getting some of these types to 'see through their own bs.') And, as you point out, it only works some of the time. Probably much less than half the time. A couple of years ago I lost one... ex-fighter pilot, took his commercial training from me... I thought I had really made some progress when after many hours of pushing and pulling, I finally got him to agree to actually use a checklist. A year later he was leading a flight of two, 'hot-dogging' at low level in mountainous terrain; he turned up the wrong canyon, and found he could not outclimb the terrain, and could not turn around. Both aircraft impacted the ridge 600 feet below the pass. The unfortunate reality of this is that he and the other pilot took four other (trusting) souls with them into the fireball. Six lives snuffed out--and for what? To prove that you can fly up the canyon at low level? Big deal. He proved it all right. So did JFK Jr. ('I can do it by myself!') I think this is in large part the answer to the painful question raised by the accident that started this thread; why would someone who 'knows better' take off in conditions such that the impact could be heard, but not seen, from a hangar a 1/4 mi away? I bristle at the notion that the weather just 'closed in' unexpectedly.' The aircraft was airborne for about 60 seconds. I argue that the conditions did not change that fast. She knew fully well she was launching into a low vis condition (IMHO). Why would Jessica Debroff's CFI allow them to depart, over-gross, in the summer, at a high alt airport, in a non-turboed airplane, when hail was falling on the roof of their car as they drove to the airport, with a huge cell sitting directly on the airport, and the 414 that departed before them called back with a windshear report, stating that he (with 620 turbocharged hp) 'almost didnt make it?' What are we trying to prove? Can't we re-define 'good pilot' to mean one that has the guts to tell everyone else to 'put a sock in it, I a-ain't a-goin'?' I gotta get a new soapbox, I am wearging this one out. Regards, Gene |
#63
|
|||
|
|||
) wrote:
What are we trying to prove? Can't we re-define 'good pilot' to mean one that has the guts to tell everyone else to 'put a sock in it, I a-ain't a-goin'?' I gotta get a new soapbox, I am wearging this one out. I hope you stick around. During your short time here you have quickly become one of my favorite posters. -- Peter 700 hr instrument-rated private pilot |
#64
|
|||
|
|||
wrote in message oups.com... What are we trying to prove? Can't we re-define 'good pilot' to mean one that has the guts to tell everyone else to 'put a sock in it, I a-ain't a-goin'?' Maybe my take on this is a little more cynical. I tend to think that the people like this fighter pilot are simply unrecoverable. *Maybe* if they get into a real close call, or a good friend of theirs buys the farm doing something stupid, the shock will wake them up. But, if they were amenable to reason and logic, they probably would have found it on their own long before you got there. Like motorcycling, skydiving, rock climbing, etc., flying attracts a certain percentage of daredevils who will take the dare too far. Perhaps the best we can hope to do with them is limit the damage they cause. JFK was certainly part of this group, something his mother seems to have recognized far better than he did. However, I find cases like this one to be much more interesting, in that you have pilots who have displayed good decisionmaking for perhaps decades, and one day take off, VFR, into 1/4mi viz. These cases seem to me far more interesting in that these are presumably people who can actually be helped, because they are willing to listen. I look at these very closely because if my research has taught me anything, it is that I am not too good to make this kind of mistake. In this case though, I really wonder whether this lady didn't have something physiologically bsuted in her brain. I'm instrument-rated and current and I wouldn't take off into those conditions, even 1mi viz. is tighter than I prefer given my skills and equipment. Continuing VFR into IMC on a cross-country I can understand. This one simply defies rational analysis. -cwk. |
#65
|
|||
|
|||
|
#66
|
|||
|
|||
Hi, Gene,
My research has led me into the psychology of narcissism, and I believe that is a major factor in this seemingly mysterious penchant some pilots have to go ahead and launch when prudence would dictate another less risky course of action. Sam: These may be of interest to you; http://malignantselflove.tripod.com/journal66.html http://malignantselflove.tripod.com/journal70.html Take care. Sam |
#67
|
|||
|
|||
"Colin W Kingsbury" wrote in message ink.net... wrote in message oups.com... ...in that you have pilots who have displayed good decisionmaking for perhaps decades, and one day take off, VFR, into 1/4mi viz. Did you read the story? She did not take off in IMC, vis was 4sm at takeoff. |
#68
|
|||
|
|||
Sam,
I will look at those. Thank you. Gene |
#69
|
|||
|
|||
Colin,
I agree that the fighter pilot was probably unrecoverable. The tough part from my position is how to separate those from the recoverable ones *before* they make their airplane into an aluminium plate on the side of a rock. Since I have not yet figured out how to tell, I tend to give it my best to try to get to whatever common sense might still be operating while there still is time to try. A lot of that effor is wasted. In the interest of effort that probably will not be wasted (you seem to be listening) , I want to point out that the idea that there was 'something psychologically busted in her brain' misses the most important point. Most likely there was not; the fact is, we all are susceptible to the same kind of error. That's the point; that she *wasn't* different from the rest of us, that the only thing that separates us from 'them' is a will to choose--and it is a choice--not to succumb to the same temptations. There was nothing 'wrong' with her. She was just like us. We could do the same thing tomorrow, except that--if we choose--we can realize that and learn from her mistakes and decide to take actions to make sure that when we are being taken down that path by our emotions, that we then *choose* to do not what we want to do, nor what everyone else is doing, nor what will make us popular, but rather that which we know is better from a purely rational point of view. It sounds easy when we are not in the midst of it, and in fact it is not. Gene |
#70
|
|||
|
|||
Nobody,
Come on. It was *reported* to be 4sm vis. In fact, the aircraft was airborne for 60 seconds. The reported ceiling was 500 overcast. The crash was heard, but not seen, from a hangar a qtr mile away. She took off into conditions that were entirely visibile to a casual observer. That the weather report says the conditions are 4 sm does not absolve the PIC from looking out the window. She did not maintain conservative safety margins; and her emergency IFR skills we inadequate. Please get this. It was not an 'act of God.' This was entirely preventable. Gene |
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|
Similar Threads | ||||
Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
American nazi pond scum, version two | bushite kills bushite | Naval Aviation | 0 | December 21st 04 10:46 PM |
Hey! What fun!! Let's let them kill ourselves!!! | [email protected] | Naval Aviation | 2 | December 17th 04 09:45 PM |
Germany Lost the War... So What? | robert arndt | Military Aviation | 55 | February 26th 04 08:51 AM |
Lost comms after radar vector | Mike Ciholas | Instrument Flight Rules | 119 | January 31st 04 11:39 PM |
Soviet Submarines Losses - WWII | Mike Yared | Military Aviation | 4 | October 30th 03 03:09 AM |