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Nicholas Kennedy
May 10th 21, 03:38 PM
https://forum.concours.org/index.php?threads/solid-state.53328/#post-639377

Maybe this could have a positive effect on electric MG range?
Nick
T

kinsell
May 12th 21, 03:14 PM
On 5/10/21 8:38 AM, Nicholas Kennedy wrote:
> https://forum.concours.org/index.php?threads/solid-state.53328/#post-639377
>
> Maybe this could have a positive effect on electric MG range?
> Nick
> T
>

Miraculous breakthroughs are always just a couple years away. I know
it's true, cause they've been saying that for 20 years now.

David Scott
May 12th 21, 10:49 PM
On Wednesday, May 12, 2021 at 7:14:28 AM UTC-7, kinsell wrote:
> On 5/10/21 8:38 AM, Nicholas Kennedy wrote:
> > https://forum.concours.org/index.php?threads/solid-state.53328/#post-639377
> >
> > Maybe this could have a positive effect on electric MG range?
> > Nick
> > T
> >
> Miraculous breakthroughs are always just a couple years away. I know
> it's true, cause they've been saying that for 20 years now.
Unless you consider NiMH to lithium a miraculous breakthrough I don't think solid state sounds like it's going to be a miracle. It does sound like it will be a significant improvement though.

Matthew Scutter
May 12th 21, 11:58 PM
On Thursday, May 13, 2021 at 7:49:10 AM UTC+10, David Scott wrote:
> On Wednesday, May 12, 2021 at 7:14:28 AM UTC-7, kinsell wrote:
> > On 5/10/21 8:38 AM, Nicholas Kennedy wrote:
> > > https://forum.concours.org/index.php?threads/solid-state.53328/#post-639377
> > >
> > > Maybe this could have a positive effect on electric MG range?
> > > Nick
> > > T
> > >
> > Miraculous breakthroughs are always just a couple years away. I know
> > it's true, cause they've been saying that for 20 years now.
> Unless you consider NiMH to lithium a miraculous breakthrough I don't think solid state sounds like it's going to be a miracle. It does sound like it will be a significant improvement though.

Lithium batteries have been steadily improving year after year. The miraculous breakthroughs happen one small step at a time.
https://media-exp1.licdn.com/dms/image/C5612AQGLf0COM-jb_Q/article-inline_image-shrink_1000_1488/0/1542123918011?e=1624492800&v=beta&t=lryoekFFXZY_f0uzWB9KZqHcKYawMquyT7Gv7uWOUKA

Eric Greenwell[_4_]
May 13th 21, 12:43 AM
On 5/12/2021 3:58 PM, Matthew Scutter wrote:
> On Thursday, May 13, 2021 at 7:49:10 AM UTC+10, David Scott wrote:
>> On Wednesday, May 12, 2021 at 7:14:28 AM UTC-7, kinsell wrote:
>>> On 5/10/21 8:38 AM, Nicholas Kennedy wrote:
>>>> https://forum.concours.org/index.php?threads/solid-state.53328/#post-639377
>>>>
>>>> Maybe this could have a positive effect on electric MG range?
>>>> Nick
>>>> T
>>>>
>>> Miraculous breakthroughs are always just a couple years away. I know
>>> it's true, cause they've been saying that for 20 years now.
>> Unless you consider NiMH to lithium a miraculous breakthrough I don't think solid state sounds like it's going to be a miracle. It does sound like it will be a significant improvement though.
>
> Lithium batteries have been steadily improving year after year. The miraculous breakthroughs happen one small step at a time.
> https://media-exp1.licdn.com/dms/image/C5612AQGLf0COM-jb_Q/article-inline_image-shrink_1000_1488/0/1542123918011?e=1624492800&v=beta&t=lryoekFFXZY_f0uzWB9KZqHcKYawMquyT7Gv7uWOUKA
>
I call that a dramatic improvement in cost/benefit ratio. I'd noticed batteries, and items
like power tools that have a lot of battery in them, seem much cheaper now, it's even
better than I thought.

--
Eric Greenwell - USA
- "A Guide to Self-launching Sailplane Operation"
https://sites.google.com/site/motorgliders/publications/download-the-guide-1

Martin Gregorie[_6_]
May 13th 21, 01:27 AM
On Wed, 12 May 2021 14:49:08 -0700, David Scott wrote:

> Unless you consider NiMH to lithium a miraculous breakthrough
>
I think *any* move away from NiMH (including a move back to NiCd) is a
major improvement.


--
Martin | martin at
Gregorie | gregorie dot org

Moshe Braner
May 13th 21, 01:28 AM
On 5/12/2021 6:58 PM, Matthew Scutter wrote:
> On Thursday, May 13, 2021 at 7:49:10 AM UTC+10, David Scott wrote:
>> On Wednesday, May 12, 2021 at 7:14:28 AM UTC-7, kinsell wrote:
>>> On 5/10/21 8:38 AM, Nicholas Kennedy wrote:
>>>> https://forum.concours.org/index.php?threads/solid-state.53328/#post-639377
>>>>
>>>> Maybe this could have a positive effect on electric MG range?
>>>> Nick
>>>> T
>>>>
>>> Miraculous breakthroughs are always just a couple years away. I know
>>> it's true, cause they've been saying that for 20 years now.
>> Unless you consider NiMH to lithium a miraculous breakthrough I don't think solid state sounds like it's going to be a miracle. It does sound like it will be a significant improvement though.
>
> Lithium batteries have been steadily improving year after year. The miraculous breakthroughs happen one small step at a time.
> https://media-exp1.licdn.com/dms/image/C5612AQGLf0COM-jb_Q/article-inline_image-shrink_1000_1488/0/1542123918011?e=1624492800&v=beta&t=lryoekFFXZY_f0uzWB9KZqHcKYawMquyT7Gv7uWOUKA
>

That's a nice graph. For one thing, both axes start from zero as they
should. And this is for LFP batteries, the "good" lithium... I hope
we'll see them used for motorglider propulsion soon. That graph ends in
"2019E" (eh?), I seem to have noticed a large drop in LFP prices since then.

John Galloway[_2_]
May 13th 21, 07:20 AM
On Wednesday, 12 May 2021 at 23:58:57 UTC+1, Matthew Scutter wrote:
> On Thursday, May 13, 2021 at 7:49:10 AM UTC+10, David Scott wrote:
> > On Wednesday, May 12, 2021 at 7:14:28 AM UTC-7, kinsell wrote:
> > > On 5/10/21 8:38 AM, Nicholas Kennedy wrote:
> > > > https://forum.concours.org/index.php?threads/solid-state.53328/#post-639377
> > > >
> > > > Maybe this could have a positive effect on electric MG range?
> > > > Nick
> > > > T
> > > >
> > > Miraculous breakthroughs are always just a couple years away. I know
> > > it's true, cause they've been saying that for 20 years now.
> > Unless you consider NiMH to lithium a miraculous breakthrough I don't think solid state sounds like it's going to be a miracle. It does sound like it will be a significant improvement though.
> Lithium batteries have been steadily improving year after year. The miraculous breakthroughs happen one small step at a time.
> https://media-exp1.licdn.com/dms/image/C5612AQGLf0COM-jb_Q/article-inline_image-shrink_1000_1488/0/1542123918011?e=1624492800&v=beta&t=lryoekFFXZY_f0uzWB9KZqHcKYawMquyT7Gv7uWOUKA

The graph seems to show a levelling off of LFP price/kWh and a noticeable slowing in the improvement in energy density.

kinsell
May 13th 21, 04:54 PM
On 5/13/21 12:20 AM, John Galloway wrote:
> On Wednesday, 12 May 2021 at 23:58:57 UTC+1, Matthew Scutter wrote:
>> On Thursday, May 13, 2021 at 7:49:10 AM UTC+10, David Scott wrote:
>>> On Wednesday, May 12, 2021 at 7:14:28 AM UTC-7, kinsell wrote:
>>>> On 5/10/21 8:38 AM, Nicholas Kennedy wrote:
>>>>> https://forum.concours.org/index.php?threads/solid-state.53328/#post-639377
>>>>>
>>>>> Maybe this could have a positive effect on electric MG range?
>>>>> Nick
>>>>> T
>>>>>
>>>> Miraculous breakthroughs are always just a couple years away. I know
>>>> it's true, cause they've been saying that for 20 years now.
>>> Unless you consider NiMH to lithium a miraculous breakthrough I don't think solid state sounds like it's going to be a miracle. It does sound like it will be a significant improvement though.
>> Lithium batteries have been steadily improving year after year. The miraculous breakthroughs happen one small step at a time.
>> https://media-exp1.licdn.com/dms/image/C5612AQGLf0COM-jb_Q/article-inline_image-shrink_1000_1488/0/1542123918011?e=1624492800&v=beta&t=lryoekFFXZY_f0uzWB9KZqHcKYawMquyT7Gv7uWOUKA
>
> The graph seems to show a levelling off of LFP price/kWh and a noticeable slowing in the improvement in energy density.
>

Shhhh. If the facts don't fit the narrative, you're supposed to ignore
the facts. That's how it works these days.

I got a real kick out of the interview with the CEO. In that video, he
had a chart of the Quantumscape stock price behind him, showing it going
to the moon.

Pulling up the one year chart, it started at $10, peaked at $132 in
December, and it's down to $27 now, and headed lower. The Gamestop of
the battery world.

The company is not in business to develop batteries, they're fleecing
naive investors. it's a classical pump-and-dump scheme, fueled by the
ever popular SPAC reverse acquisition. Very creative of them. All
sorts of wild claims, with no actual results to show for them. For a
more sober view of the company, read this:

https://investorplace.com/2021/05/qs-stock-has-no-business-trading-you-have-no-business-buying-it/

Dave Nadler
May 14th 21, 12:11 AM
On 5/13/2021 11:54 AM, kinsell wrote:
> ... All
> sorts of wild claims, with no actual results to show for them.

Except, VW has tested Quantumscape cells and says they met VW's targets...

We will see. But only after many moons.

2G
May 17th 21, 03:21 AM
On Thursday, May 13, 2021 at 4:11:20 PM UTC-7, wrote:
> On 5/13/2021 11:54 AM, kinsell wrote:
> > ... All
> > sorts of wild claims, with no actual results to show for them.
> Except, VW has tested Quantumscape cells and says they met VW's targets....
>
> We will see. But only after many moons.

Lithium solid state batteries are still in the development stage, but there is a lot of interest in them by companies with substantial resources (i.e. car companies). I would not wait on them before deciding on which eglider to buy, however. Here is one assessment of the situation:
https://www.autoweek.com/news/green-cars/a35367888/the-eternal-promise-of-solid-state-batteries/
More about the technology is in:
https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/1803/1803.04317.pdf

Tom

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