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![]() This is Usenet! Just 'cuz the horse is lyin' down and hasn't moved in a week don't mean we can't kick it again ![]() You know that's the truth! There's another rule in statistics that the smallest sample about which you can make a statistically sound statement is 30. It's statistically dubious to draw assumptions from very small samples but there's also a point of diminishing returns to having ever-larger sample sizes. Interesting. What is the sample size here really? Is a sample a single hour, an average flight of some number of hours, an accident, a plane, or what? It would seem if the best performer runs at .28 failures per 100,000 hours (I think this was the rate for the DA20 at last look) then you would need about a million to ensure a good number because there is no such thing as a .28 dead person. Well, let's be fair and say that there are a significant body of "OH S#*T" experiences that are more survivable in a Cirrus than anything else. Of course, from the insurance company's perspective, a total hull loss is a total hull loss, whether it's due to CAPS or an engine-out night landing in the mountains. I am not yet ready to agree. I await more hours free of fatalities. Sure the chute is good, but what would the designer have done without the BRS option. Would the plane be less safe? I would rather have the Lancair I think, but its more money. |
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