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"Jonathan" wrote in message
news:cPand.115563$R05.55665@attbi_s53... How can I find/figure out what the forecast cloud bases will be 3 or 4 days out? Three or four days in advance? Forget it. It is impossible to KNOW what the weather will be that far in advance. I empathize with your desire to be able to better plan your flights. I wish I could do the same for mine. But the truth is that there's simply no reliable way to predict. The most practical solution is to simply plan the flight as if the weather will be good enough, and provide yourself with a backup plan in case the weather's not good enough. Ultimately, the ONLY thing that matters with respect to a particular flight is what the weather is doing right that moment. Even short-term forecasts are frequently wrong, and the long-term forecasts you're talking about are just plain unreliable. There's a reason that official aviation weather services don't provide cloud height forecasts three days in advance. The only reason that the commercial services do is that the public loves to be told what will happen, even if it turns out to be wrong. For some perverse reason, that's more acceptable than being told "I don't know what will happen" (probably because being told an incorrect forecast gives an individual the "right" to blame the bad weather for their plans on the meteorologist). Pete |
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