Yet another A36 crash

"David Dyer-Bennet" wrote:
"Denny" wrote:
The A36 crash record is better than average -

?

Since 1/1/03 there have been 25 A36 fatals in the U. S. In the same
period, there were 20 C-210 fatals and 16 PA-32R fatals. The 210 fleet
is larger than the A36 fleet, I believe.

It's quite possible to be "better than average" and still be worse
than some other models.

I doubt that the A36 is better than average, either, since "average" would
include a lot of docile, fixed-gear singles with much better records than the
models mentioned.

Also, these numbers are small enough that I'm
not sure how big a difference is necessary to be statistically
significant;

It's enough, I believe, to argue against Denny's assertion.

ones intuition isn't very reliable for that (you see the
same thing when people talk about changes in murder rates from year to
year, when the total count is in small double digits).

I wasn't using intuition.
--
Dan
C-172RG at BFM

Dan has point that needs investigating on the ratio between A36 and
P210, as these are comparable aircraft flying similar missions... You
can't measure an A36 against Skyhawks, Cherokee's, etc., apples and
oranges... The 'average' I was referring to are other complex, high
power singles...I will attempt to remember to do some digging on this
when I get back from our air tour of the deep south and if I'm wrong,
cheerfully eat crow... It may be impossible to pin down - look at the
long running debate over twins versus singles (yet I persist in flying
one of those killer twins)...

Leaving tomorrow afternoon, but the weather is starting to look ugly
with threats of thunderstorms preceeded by freezing rain and snow... Ya
gotta love the Great Lakes and mid west...

denny

"Denny" wrote:

Leaving tomorrow afternoon, but the weather is starting to look ugly
with threats of thunderstorms preceeded by freezing rain and snow...
Ya
gotta love the Great Lakes and mid west...


Be careful.

Why don't you come on down to P'ville next month and let everybody pet
Fat Albert?
--
Dan
C172RG at BFM

I disagree. A P210 is not comparable to an A36.
A B36TC is probably more comparable to a P210, however.
An A36 is comparable to a normally aspirated C210.

Denny wrote:
Dan has point that needs investigating on the ratio between A36 and
P210, as these are comparable aircraft flying similar missions... You
can't measure an A36 against Skyhawks, Cherokee's, etc., apples and
oranges... The 'average' I was referring to are other complex, high
power singles...I will attempt to remember to do some digging on this
when I get back from our air tour of the deep south and if I'm wrong,
cheerfully eat crow... It may be impossible to pin down - look at the
long running debate over twins versus singles (yet I persist in flying
one of those killer twins)...