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let's see my old favorite is 2,3,5,23,32 and 9
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In rec.aviation.owning revdmv wrote:
let's see my old favorite is 2,3,5,23,32 and 9 Probabality.... simple.... same as anything else you pick: 1,2,3,4,5,6 Odds of being struck by lightening in your lifetime: 1:3000 http://www.lightningsafety.noaa.gov/...htning_rec.htm It is common for people to refer to the chance of being struck by lightning as an improbable or unlikely event. Yet actual statistics say otherwise. Lightning strikes the ground approximately 25 million times each year in the United States (Orville and Huffines, 2001). Most people greatly underestimate the probability of being involved in a lightning strike. According to the National Weather Service, the chance of an individual in the United States being killed or inured during a given year is one in 240,000. Assuming an average life span of 80 years, a person's odds over their lifetime becomes one in 3000. Odds of winning a BIG lottery: 1:308,000,000 From my perspective, I'll purchase a lottery ticket the day after I (survive) and am struck by lightening 308,000,000 / 3000 = 102666.66 times! From my perspective, the lottery is just a "stupid tax" that I am not required to pay. However, many others do... "Hi, I'd like to pay $100 of stupid tax today". Instead of reading and investing. May I suggest that if you got this far thru my posting that you consider reading" "Rich Dad, Poor Dad", "The Millionaire Next Door", and "Inc, and Grow Rich". Yes, it DOES take work... but it takes work to earn the $ just to give it away to a lottery. However, in investing/saving, your money works FOR you, instead of paying even more "taxes" in the "hope" (against ALL experience and probability) of growing ricy. Now, if you are "gaming" and not "gambling", and playing the lottery is "entertainment", have fun at it and enjoy it! Best regards, Jer/ "Flight instruction and mountain flying are my vocation!" Eberhard -- Jer/ (Slash) Eberhard, Mountain Flying Aviation, LTD, Ft Collins, CO CELL 970 231-6325 EMAIL jer'at'frii.com WEB http://users.frii.com/jer/ C-206 N9513G, CFII Airplane&Glider, FAA-DEN Aviation Safety Counselor CAP-CO Mission&Aircraft CheckPilot, BM218 HAM N0FZD, 234 Young Eagles! |
#3
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Odds of winning a BIG lottery: 1:308,000,000
Wrong. Odds of winning a BIG lottery if you purchase one ticket in your lifetime: 1:308,000,000 Assuming a lifespan of 80 years, purchasing one ticket every day, the odds of winning go up to something like 1:10,000. Now that's not so bad, is it? ![]() Jose -- Money: what you need when you run out of brains. for Email, make the obvious change in the address. |
#4
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Jose writes:
Odds of winning a BIG lottery: 1:308,000,000 Wrong. Odds of winning a BIG lottery if you purchase one ticket in your lifetime: 1:308,000,000 Thought one ticket was 1:80,000,000; but their site says that as of 6-April it's 1:146,100,000 (and it wasn't what I said even before that). They apparently added two more white ball numbers, so now there are 55 white balls. 5 are drawn, so the odds of drawing any given set of numbers should be 55-Choose-5 * 42, or 3,478,761 * 42, or...hey, I got the same number they did! 146.1e6 ("55-Choose-5" being my text representation of the big-C notation used in math for combinations.) Or is this more to the tune of "87.5% of all statistics are made up on the spot"? (Note that for figuring *financial* odds, you have to somehow include the odds of multiple people holding the winning number, hence splitting the jackpot. Especially on these mega-jackpots, that's quite likely.) -- David Dyer-Bennet, , http://www.dd-b.net/dd-b/ RKBA: http://noguns-nomoney.com/ http://www.dd-b.net/carry/ Pics: http://dd-b.lighthunters.net/ http://www.dd-b.net/dd-b/SnapshotAlbum/ Dragaera/Steven Brust: http://dragaera.info/ |
#5
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Or is this more to the tune of "87.5% of all statistics are made up on
the spot"? Yes, and the other 43.9% of them were made up long ago and therefore not subject to question. ![]() Jose -- Money: what you need when you run out of brains. for Email, make the obvious change in the address. |
#6
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![]() Odds of winning a BIG lottery if you purchase one ticket in your lifetime: 1:308,000,000 Assuming a lifespan of 80 years, purchasing one ticket every day, the odds of winning go up to something like 1:10,000. Now that's not so bad, is it? ![]() Jose -- Jose, I think you may be wrong about the odds. If you buy a ticket every day, the odds are the same each day 1:308,000,000. If you buy 10 tickets each day the odds for each ticket to win is still the same. I think. Dale |
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Jose, I think you may be wrong about the odds. If you buy a ticket every
day, the odds are the same each day 1:308,000,000. If you buy 10 tickets each day the odds for each ticket to win is still the same. You are right inasmuch as the odds are the same every day (not counting the different number of people that buy tickets for any given game). However, the more tickets you buy, the more your =overall= chance of winning at =least= one game. For tiny chances, the increase is roughly linear (there's such a small chance of winning more than once it can be ignored). Jose -- Money: what you need when you run out of brains. for Email, make the obvious change in the address. |
#8
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From my perspective, the lottery is just a "stupid tax" that I am
not required to pay. However, many others do... That's my perspective, too. Yet, today, for some reason, Mary and I blew a $5 bill on FIVE (count 'em -- FIVE!) Powerball tickets! That's five more than we've ever bought before! (We actually had to ask the clerk how to play the lottery. The people in line were incredulous...) I feel so, so, I don't know....*stupid*... :-) -- Jay Honeck Iowa City, IA Pathfinder N56993 www.AlexisParkInn.com "Your Aviation Destination" |
#9
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Now I feel depressed and lonely. I thought that you and I were the only
hold-outs left. Now I don't know what to do. Maybe I can borrow a dollar from a stranger to buy a ticket, then I can still say I've never spent any of my own money on the lottery. *sigh* Just think.... for the price of a lottery ticket you could: FLY!!! at $100 per hour for just over 36 seconds!! or DRINK!!! 1 tap beer (unknown size) or more during Happy Hour!! or BUY a condom and if you're lucky use it at no additional charge! (STD's free, treatments and divorces extra) Anybody got $4 they can loan me? Jim |
#10
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Anybody got $4 they can loan me?
Tell you what. Go buy 4 tickets. If I win, I'll reimburse you... ;-) -- Jay Honeck Iowa City, IA Pathfinder N56993 www.AlexisParkInn.com "Your Aviation Destination" |
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