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I read on AvWeb today the '05 Nall Report is out, and apparently 2004
was a historic low for aviation accidents. This led me to question what next year's report will look like after considering the spate of GA accidents that we've all read about in the last year or so. Maybe it's just a question of perception? Or, are pilots just getting too complacent when they strap into their aircraft? Or maybe it's just a statistical artifact. Shift a few accidents from December to January, and shift a few others from next January to this December, and you have a banner year for airplane crashes caused simply by the artificial boundaries of the sample set. Sometimes random events cluster for no reason. In fact, it is highly unlikely that they would =not= cluster. Jose -- Money: what you need when you run out of brains. for Email, make the obvious change in the address. |
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