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#1
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![]() "nrp" wrote... Itinerant traffic at KSSQ has gone to about zero, even with the excellent VFR WX this spring. There's a perfect storm working against us prop pounding GA guys: 1. The age of the average flyer/owner is transitioning from the peak earning years into the fixed income period. A scary phase to own a 30+ year old money hole. 2. Avgas costs are up at around $4/gal, that's almost a 100% increase in 10 years. Makes forward looking projections very difficult. 3. Administrative, operational and insurance hurdles have risen to a point where they seem to dominate every hanger/coffee discussion. This involves everything from changing the 4ft high airport fence to one 8ft barb wire topped with coded security gates. Airport authorites increasing insurance minimums for aircraft in hanger and tiedowns. And limiting access rules for personal cars and family tours. I may see more of this as I'm in a suburban enviornment, but this is where the people (read that as future pilots) are, and I see nothing inviting them in. AOPA has finally ramped up the Project Pilot program to focus on getting new blood into our ranks, but their goals need to be much bigger. I'm talking 100,000 new pilots in the next ten years big. I really want to say 100k in five years should be our growth goal, but 100k in ten years will at least keep us alive. One of the real bright spots the last two years has been the Sport Plane/Pilot arena. Two years ago at SNF I saw ULs with bicycle parts, but now I'm trying on real airplanes and some of them I can actually fit into. They have reduced the kite/glider feel (increased wing loading??), and are starting to demo them at less than WOT settings. My last ride the guy even pulled out a homemade power table, and at 65% that plane felt pretty smooth. All at 4 to 5 gallons/hr for the same speed as a c172/pa28 (minus the two extra seats and baggage). I hope the LSA/SP bring in a new breed of hobby flyers who can stay in for the long haul. This is not intended to put down the Airline Capt wannabees, but I do not think that "new student pilot model" has served Rec GA well. The guys who go career aviation don't tend to do much small GA flying, and I've seen too many bitter outcomes from the student to private to CFI (time building) pyramid scheme. Just my thoughts,... YMMV. |
#2
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Another BIG problem with GA is we aren't getting enough kids involved.
The Young Eagles program is great, but it's not enough. Kids can't hang over the airport fence anymore, model airplanes have just about died, RC is expensive for a 12 year old. It used to be kids wanted to grow up and learn how to fly and airplane, now they want to grow up to be a game programmer. That's a problem! If you look at the kid's birthday party supply places there are NO airplane things, and you can't buy an airplane shaped balloon. That says a lot. WARNING SHAMELESS PLUG FOLLOWS So if you want to bring the kids out go to http://www.nasm.si.edu/events/eventD...fm?eventID=602 It will be a great day for the kids! Kids = ages 1-101 Before you ask, all the fly-in spots have been filled for this event and there is already a waiting list. Margy Mike Isaksen wrote: "nrp" wrote... Itinerant traffic at KSSQ has gone to about zero, even with the excellent VFR WX this spring. There's a perfect storm working against us prop pounding GA guys: 1. The age of the average flyer/owner is transitioning from the peak earning years into the fixed income period. A scary phase to own a 30+ year old money hole. 2. Avgas costs are up at around $4/gal, that's almost a 100% increase in 10 years. Makes forward looking projections very difficult. 3. Administrative, operational and insurance hurdles have risen to a point where they seem to dominate every hanger/coffee discussion. This involves everything from changing the 4ft high airport fence to one 8ft barb wire topped with coded security gates. Airport authorites increasing insurance minimums for aircraft in hanger and tiedowns. And limiting access rules for personal cars and family tours. I may see more of this as I'm in a suburban enviornment, but this is where the people (read that as future pilots) are, and I see nothing inviting them in. AOPA has finally ramped up the Project Pilot program to focus on getting new blood into our ranks, but their goals need to be much bigger. I'm talking 100,000 new pilots in the next ten years big. I really want to say 100k in five years should be our growth goal, but 100k in ten years will at least keep us alive. One of the real bright spots the last two years has been the Sport Plane/Pilot arena. Two years ago at SNF I saw ULs with bicycle parts, but now I'm trying on real airplanes and some of them I can actually fit into. They have reduced the kite/glider feel (increased wing loading??), and are starting to demo them at less than WOT settings. My last ride the guy even pulled out a homemade power table, and at 65% that plane felt pretty smooth. All at 4 to 5 gallons/hr for the same speed as a c172/pa28 (minus the two extra seats and baggage). I hope the LSA/SP bring in a new breed of hobby flyers who can stay in for the long haul. This is not intended to put down the Airline Capt wannabees, but I do not think that "new student pilot model" has served Rec GA well. The guys who go career aviation don't tend to do much small GA flying, and I've seen too many bitter outcomes from the student to private to CFI (time building) pyramid scheme. Just my thoughts,... YMMV. |
#3
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Another BIG problem with GA is we aren't getting enough kids involved.
The Young Eagles program is great, but it's not enough. Kids can't hang over the airport fence anymore, model airplanes have just about died, RC is expensive for a 12 year old. It used to be kids wanted to grow up and learn how to fly and airplane, now they want to grow up to be a game programmer. That's a problem! If you look at the kid's birthday party supply places there are NO airplane things, and you can't buy an airplane shaped balloon. That says a lot. I ran into this problem a few years ago, while looking for gifts for my young nephews and nieces. OF COURSE Uncle Jay *had* to give airplane toys -- yet I had to look long and hard to find them. Imagine, and entire toy store with just one or two airplanes! It was depressing. As for R/C being expensive, I'm happy to report that the trend has gone quite dramatically the other way in recent years. When I first got into R/C flight, back in the 1980s, you needed at least $300 to get started -- AND you had to build your own plane. Now, with the advent of advanced battery-powered airplanes, you can get into a pre- built plane for far less -- often under $100. Our local R/C club is BOOMING. But you're right about computers. They have sapped the life out of our kids, by allowing them to experience the world without ever leaving their chairs. I suppose you might look at this as a good thing, from an evolutionary standpoint, but I find it terribly sad. The next ten years will decide the fate of GA. You and Ron do what you can, and Mary and I will continue to be the "Pied Pipers" of GA in Iowa. Beyond that, I don't know what else to do. Getting pilots to do anything -- even if it's to save their own fate -- is like herding cats... -- Jay Honeck Iowa City, IA Pathfinder N56993 www.AlexisParkInn.com "Your Aviation Destination" |
#4
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![]() "Jay Honeck" wrote The next ten years will decide the fate of GA. You and Ron do what you can, and Mary and I will continue to be the "Pied Pipers" of GA in Iowa. Beyond that, I don't know what else to do. Getting pilots to do anything -- even if it's to save their own fate -- is like herding cats... One BIG thing that pilots need to do, is to invite people along with them, when they go flying. I don't have a "certificate" YET, and I always tell everyone I know that is a pilot, that I would JUMP at the chance to go flying with them, especially when they are going out by themselves. I don't get near the invitations that I would like. So, if everyone would be more open to invite a prospective pilot along, DO IT !!! It might be what someone needs to get off of the fence, and go for it. -- Jim in NC |
#5
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Morgans wrote:
"Jay Honeck" wrote The next ten years will decide the fate of GA. You and Ron do what you can, and Mary and I will continue to be the "Pied Pipers" of GA in Iowa. Beyond that, I don't know what else to do. Getting pilots to do anything -- even if it's to save their own fate -- is like herding cats... One BIG thing that pilots need to do, is to invite people along with them, when they go flying. I don't have a "certificate" YET, and I always tell everyone I know that is a pilot, that I would JUMP at the chance to go flying with them, especially when they are going out by themselves. I don't get near the invitations that I would like. So, if everyone would be more open to invite a prospective pilot along, DO IT !!! It might be what someone needs to get off of the fence, and go for it. Sadly, I know lots of pilots who won't invite folks to go flying for the fear of liability issues. Margy |
#6
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![]() "Margy Natalie" wrote Sadly, I know lots of pilots who won't invite folks to go flying for the fear of liability issues. Yes, I know that does happen, and I agree, that is sad. Very sad. Myself, I will not allow my life to be ruled by geeks, bean counters, and lawyers at insurance companies. In my case, these are relatively close friends, so I don't think that is the cause. -- Jim in NC |
#7
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Morgans writes:
One BIG thing that pilots need to do, is to invite people along with them, when they go flying. In our fearful and litigation-oriented society, that's a great way for a pilot to go bankrupt and never fly again, should even the slightest thing go wrong during a flight (just having a passenger get airsick would be enough). -- Transpose mxsmanic and gmail to reach me by e-mail. |
#8
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Mxsmanic wrote:
Morgans writes: One BIG thing that pilots need to do, is to invite people along with them, when they go flying. In our fearful and litigation-oriented society, that's a great way for a pilot to go bankrupt and never fly again, should even the slightest thing go wrong during a flight (just having a passenger get airsick would be enough). Interesting statement. Do you have a single example of a GA pilot ever being sued because a passenger got air sick? |
#9
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Jay Honeck writes:
But you're right about computers. They have sapped the life out of our kids, by allowing them to experience the world without ever leaving their chairs. I suppose you might look at this as a good thing, from an evolutionary standpoint, but I find it terribly sad. Computers are the effect, not the cause. Kids resort to computers because just about anything with the slightest element of risk is now forbidden to them. Everything that requires movement or strenuous exercise or being away from constant supervision for more than a few minutes or involves any type of insurance or liability (which covers practically everything) is no longer an option. They live with their parents in a state of fear of everything, and about the only thing that carries very little risk is playing with a computer. -- Transpose mxsmanic and gmail to reach me by e-mail. |
#10
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Mxsmanic wrote:
Jay Honeck writes: But you're right about computers. They have sapped the life out of our kids, by allowing them to experience the world without ever leaving their chairs. I suppose you might look at this as a good thing, from an evolutionary standpoint, but I find it terribly sad. Computers are the effect, not the cause. Kids resort to computers because just about anything with the slightest element of risk is now forbidden to them. Everything that requires movement or strenuous exercise or being away from constant supervision for more than a few minutes or involves any type of insurance or liability (which covers practically everything) is no longer an option. They live with their parents in a state of fear of everything, and about the only thing that carries very little risk is playing with a computer. Damned but I hate to agree. Athough I think much of the computer craze is now a cause. They are very attractive and everyone has one and they are right there. Couple that with "don't go out until I get home from work", "No friends over until I get home from work", etc. and you have the perfect set up for computer kids. A friend who is a professor of mechanical engineering summed it up quite well, she said, "computers have been a leveler, it used to be girls couldn't DO anything, now no one can DO anything". Refering of course to those basic skills our kids no longer have (cutting, sawing, soldering, attaching, etc.). I always had a model club at school and lots of people thought I was nuts letting kids (7th and 8th graders) near exacto knives, etc. I didn't have on injury (but I did lay the law down pretty thick). Margy |
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