![]() |
If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below. |
|
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
#1
|
|||
|
|||
![]()
It seems that for many months Dr Jack's forecast temperature is off by -4° F consistently, sometimes I've see it too low by 7°.
Has anyone else seen this bias? Tomorrow it is forecast 3.7° lower than the other commercial forecasts (69.3 vs 73). I've seen this happen in the observed high temperature pretty often, not just the forecast. 4+ degrees is enough to throw off a lift and cloudbase prediction pretty far, and I've missed some good days because of this. Has anyone else seen this? I thought if there was widespread issues with this I could provide better feedback to Jack. I wonder if the many updates to the RUC and NAM models have created some issues with the data or computations. DrJack (www.drjack.info/BLIP) miniBLIPSPOT Lat,Lon= 32.79,-84.44 (429,144) Feb 19 - NAM --------------------------------------- VALID.TIME 18z 21z VALID.TIME ForecastPd 24h 27h ForecastPd --------------------------------------- W* 430 334 W* Sfc.Heating 217 98 Sfc.Heating Hcrit 4153 3641 Hcrit BL Depth 5213 5178 BL Depth BL Top 5908 5873 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 753 497 Hgt.Variab. B/S Ratio 6 6 B/S Ratio BL Wind 13 10 BL Wind Direction 327 317 Direction Wind Shear 19 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 1 Max.Converg CUpot 2142 1319 CUpot CUbase 3766 4554 CUbase ODpot 957 953 ODpot ODbase 4951 4920 ODbase maxRH 88 90 maxRH CAPE 20 20 CAPE Temp@2m 67.2 69.3 Temp@2m |
Thread Tools | |
Display Modes | |
|
|
![]() |
||||
Thread | Thread Starter | Forum | Replies | Last Post |
Cloud Height Forecast | [email protected] | Instrument Flight Rules | 9 | March 29th 09 01:05 PM |
Translate WX Forecast | John T | Piloting | 34 | August 5th 05 02:28 PM |
RUC Mixed Boundary forecast | m pautz | Soaring | 2 | March 26th 05 02:48 AM |
Help, Need Wave forecast | Kevin R. Anderson | Soaring | 2 | March 1st 04 06:26 PM |